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icon for Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?

Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?

Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?

<5 65%

5-9 32%

15-19 6.2%

25-29 3.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5 65%

5-9 32%

15-19 6.2%

25-29 3.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5

$2,104 Vol.

65%

5-9

$1,073 Vol.

32%

10-14

$316 Vol.

3%

15-19

$269 Vol.

6%

20-24

$278 Vol.

1%

25-29

$267 Vol.

4%

30-34

$278 Vol.

1%

35-39

$309 Vol.

<1%

40-44

$305 Vol.

1%

45-49

$260 Vol.

1%

50-54

$272 Vol.

1%

55-59

$272 Vol.

1%

60+

$551 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, maintains a low public profile with communications limited primarily to occasional written statements or directives rather than frequent updates.** Following the February 2026 strikes that killed his father, he has avoided regular appearances, videos, or speeches, issuing messages sparingly amid military reorganization, internal political tensions, and economic pressures. Recent activity includes August 10 instructions on armed forces restructuring and an undated video release, consistent with his pattern of minimal output. This established restraint, combined with security concerns and a preference for behind-the-scenes decision-making, positions markets heavily toward fewer than five or five-to-nine posts during the August 11-18 window. Traders reflect this consensus through the strong weighting on the lowest brackets, as no major scheduled events or escalations appear likely to prompt higher volume in the immediate term.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,555
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, maintains a low public profile with communications limited primarily to occasional written statements or directives rather than frequent updates.** Following the February 2026 strikes that killed his father, he has avoided regular appearances, videos, or speeches, issuing messages sparingly amid military reorganization, internal political tensions, and economic pressures. Recent activity includes August 10 instructions on armed forces restructuring and an undated video release, consistent with his pattern of minimal output. This established restraint, combined with security concerns and a preference for behind-the-scenes decision-making, positions markets heavily toward fewer than five or five-to-nine posts during the August 11-18 window. Traders reflect this consensus through the strong weighting on the lowest brackets, as no major scheduled events or escalations appear likely to prompt higher volume in the immediate term.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,555
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Domande frequenti

"Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<5" a 65%, seguito da "5-9" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 8, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?" è "<5" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "5-9" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Khamenei # posts 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.