Trader consensus favors United Russia with 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, resource dominance in single-mandate districts, and historical control despite recent polls showing support softening to 30-52% in early April FOM and VCIOM surveys amid rising food and utility prices. New People's 29.9% odds stem from polling gains to 8-16%, projecting substantial net increases from its current 13 seats—potentially outpacing United Russia's expected losses from 324 seats—while LDPR trails at 5.1% on steady 10-15% support. Kremlin propaganda ramps up to highlight party initiatives, with smaller parties like KPRF facing barriers in the managed electoral system.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 65%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 29.9%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,486,433 Vol.
$5,486,433 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
65%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
30%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 65%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 29.9%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,486,433 Vol.
$5,486,433 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,509,822 Vol.
65%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$495,961 Vol.
30%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$2,130,466 Vol.
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$367,624 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$330,186 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$362,566 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$289,809 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia with 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, resource dominance in single-mandate districts, and historical control despite recent polls showing support softening to 30-52% in early April FOM and VCIOM surveys amid rising food and utility prices. New People's 29.9% odds stem from polling gains to 8-16%, projecting substantial net increases from its current 13 seats—potentially outpacing United Russia's expected losses from 324 seats—while LDPR trails at 5.1% on steady 10-15% support. Kremlin propaganda ramps up to highlight party initiatives, with smaller parties like KPRF facing barriers in the managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,486,433Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia with 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, resource dominance in single-mandate districts, and historical control despite recent polls showing support softening to 30-52% in early April FOM and VCIOM surveys amid rising food and utility prices. New People's 29.9% odds stem from polling gains to 8-16%, projecting substantial net increases from its current 13 seats—potentially outpacing United Russia's expected losses from 324 seats—while LDPR trails at 5.1% on steady 10-15% support. Kremlin propaganda ramps up to highlight party initiatives, with smaller parties like KPRF facing barriers in the managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$5,486,433Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors United Russia with 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, resource dominance in single-mandate districts, and historical control despite recent polls showing support softening to 30-52% in early April FOM and VCIOM surveys amid rising food and utility prices. New People's 29.9% odds stem from polling gains to 8-16%, projecting substantial net increases from its current 13 seats—potentially outpacing United Russia's expected losses from 324 seats—while LDPR trails at 5.1% on steady 10-15% support. Kremlin propaganda ramps up to highlight party initiatives, with smaller parties like KPRF facing barriers in the managed electoral system.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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