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Elezioni·Elezioni Sindaco

Elezioni del sindaco di Newark

Market icon
Elezioni·Elezioni Sindaco

Elezioni del sindaco di Newark

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.7%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Sheila Montague <1%

Polymarket

$14,563 Vol.

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.7%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Sheila Montague <1%

Polymarket

$14,563 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$3,255 Vol.

95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$859 Vol.

2%

Douglas Davis

$869 Vol.

1%

Sheila Montague

$1,313 Vol.

1%

Noble Milton

$2,994 Vol.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$965 Vol.

<1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$963 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$981 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$1,393 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$972 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, municipal election, driven by his three-term record of achievements highlighted in the March 31 State of the City address, where he touted 12 years of progress amid urban revitalization and housing initiatives like naming "worst landlords." Facing a fragmented field of minor challengers—Asha Coates-Hamlet at 1.7% and others below 1.5%—since the February filing deadline identified no credible threats, trader consensus reflects low-turnout dynamics favoring the local political machine. While odds exceed 90%, late-breaking scandals, corruption probes gaining traction, health issues, or an unexpected voter turnout surge among dissatisfied blocs could narrow the gap before election day.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$14,563
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, municipal election, driven by his three-term record of achievements highlighted in the March 31 State of the City address, where he touted 12 years of progress amid urban revitalization and housing initiatives like naming "worst landlords." Facing a fragmented field of minor challengers—Asha Coates-Hamlet at 1.7% and others below 1.5%—since the February filing deadline identified no credible threats, trader consensus reflects low-turnout dynamics favoring the local political machine. While odds exceed 90%, late-breaking scandals, corruption probes gaining traction, health issues, or an unexpected voter turnout surge among dissatisfied blocs could narrow the gap before election day.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$14,563
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del sindaco di Newark" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ras Baraka" a 95%, seguito da "Asha Coates-Hamlet" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni del sindaco di Newark" ha generato $14.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 10, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del sindaco di Newark", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del sindaco di Newark" è "Ras Baraka" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Asha Coates-Hamlet" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del sindaco di Newark" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.