Incumbent Ken Sim holds the lead in the Vancouver mayoral race due to his ABC Vancouver party backing and name recognition, though recent August 2026 polls from Research Co. and others show his support in the low-to-mid 20s percent amid a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates and high undecided rates. Trader consensus assigns him the highest implied probability, followed by Green Party councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, whose support remains split. Housing affordability and local governance issues continue to shape voter preferences ahead of the October 17 vote, with no single challenger consolidating opposition. The fragmented ballot and undecided voters keep the outcome open to shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKen Sim 39%
Pete Fry 28.0%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 Vol.
$175,656 Vol.

Ken Sim
39%

Pete Fry
28%

Kareem Allam
13%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
4%

Sean Orr
2%

John Coupar
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

Fred Harding
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%
Ken Sim 39%
Pete Fry 28.0%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 Vol.
$175,656 Vol.

Ken Sim
39%

Pete Fry
28%

Kareem Allam
13%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
4%

Sean Orr
2%

John Coupar
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

Fred Harding
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ken Sim holds the lead in the Vancouver mayoral race due to his ABC Vancouver party backing and name recognition, though recent August 2026 polls from Research Co. and others show his support in the low-to-mid 20s percent amid a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates and high undecided rates. Trader consensus assigns him the highest implied probability, followed by Green Party councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, whose support remains split. Housing affordability and local governance issues continue to shape voter preferences ahead of the October 17 vote, with no single challenger consolidating opposition. The fragmented ballot and undecided voters keep the outcome open to shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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