U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by recent polls showing him at 46-50% support among GOP voters, a record $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul exceeding rivals, and President Trump's endorsement via his campaign site. James Fishback holds second at 10% as a self-funded investor candidate emphasizing affordability, though fresh scrutiny over his Florida residency—raised by tax and voting records four days ago—has tempered momentum despite a recent USF rally. Incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis' term limit opens the field, but Donalds' polling lead and financial edge position him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, with minimal threats from longshots like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoByron Donalds 83%
James Fishback 10%
Jay Collins 1.9%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,276,300 Vol.
$1,276,300 Vol.
Byron Donalds
83%
James Fishback
10%
Jay Collins
2%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
Byron Donalds 83%
James Fishback 10%
Jay Collins 1.9%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,276,300 Vol.
$1,276,300 Vol.
Byron Donalds
83%
James Fishback
10%
Jay Collins
2%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by recent polls showing him at 46-50% support among GOP voters, a record $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul exceeding rivals, and President Trump's endorsement via his campaign site. James Fishback holds second at 10% as a self-funded investor candidate emphasizing affordability, though fresh scrutiny over his Florida residency—raised by tax and voting records four days ago—has tempered momentum despite a recent USF rally. Incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis' term limit opens the field, but Donalds' polling lead and financial edge position him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, with minimal threats from longshots like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti