In the closely contested Los Angeles mayoral nonpartisan primary set for June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket positions City Councilmember Nithya Raman as the frontrunner at 45% implied probability, driven by momentum from the March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing her leading with 33% support among described candidates, amid high voter uncertainty. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 30%, weighed down by 56% unfavorable ratings in a March Berkeley IGS poll tied to ongoing homelessness and wildfire response critiques. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt holds 16% on celebrity outsider appeal, despite April 6 reports questioning his residency eligibility after relocating post-Palisades Fire. UCLA Luskin polling from early April reveals 40% undecided voters, signaling volatility ahead of the top-two runoff trigger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNithya Raman 46%
Karen Bass 30%
Spencer Pratt 16%
Rae Huang 5.8%
$892,575 Vol.
$892,575 Vol.
Nithya Raman
46%
Karen Bass
30%
Spencer Pratt
16%
Rae Huang
6%
Adam Miller
2%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Nithya Raman 46%
Karen Bass 30%
Spencer Pratt 16%
Rae Huang 5.8%
$892,575 Vol.
$892,575 Vol.
Nithya Raman
46%
Karen Bass
30%
Spencer Pratt
16%
Rae Huang
6%
Adam Miller
2%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Mercato aperto: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the closely contested Los Angeles mayoral nonpartisan primary set for June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket positions City Councilmember Nithya Raman as the frontrunner at 45% implied probability, driven by momentum from the March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing her leading with 33% support among described candidates, amid high voter uncertainty. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 30%, weighed down by 56% unfavorable ratings in a March Berkeley IGS poll tied to ongoing homelessness and wildfire response critiques. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt holds 16% on celebrity outsider appeal, despite April 6 reports questioning his residency eligibility after relocating post-Palisades Fire. UCLA Luskin polling from early April reveals 40% undecided voters, signaling volatility ahead of the top-two runoff trigger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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