Abdul El-Sayed leads the Michigan Democratic Senate primary field in trader assessments ahead of the August 4 vote, reflecting his edge or near-ties in several recent polls and backing from the United Auto Workers. Haley Stevens follows as the main alternative, supported by establishment-aligned outside spending from groups such as the United Democracy Project and private encouragement from Senate Democratic leadership. Mallory McMorrow trails further behind amid targeted ad campaigns from aligned PACs, while lower-polling candidates including Rashida Tlaib and Sarah Anthony register minimal market interest. Recent polling averages show El-Sayed ahead by single digits in some surveys and Stevens competitive or ahead in others, with outside expenditures and labor endorsements emerging as the primary drivers shifting implied probabilities in the closely watched open-seat contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle primarie del Senato Democratico del Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed 68%
Haley Stevens 25.7%
Mallory McMorrow 6%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$645,292 Vol.
$645,292 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
68%
Haley Stevens
26%
Mallory McMorrow
6%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Abdul El-Sayed 68%
Haley Stevens 25.7%
Mallory McMorrow 6%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$645,292 Vol.
$645,292 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
68%
Haley Stevens
26%
Mallory McMorrow
6%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed leads the Michigan Democratic Senate primary field in trader assessments ahead of the August 4 vote, reflecting his edge or near-ties in several recent polls and backing from the United Auto Workers. Haley Stevens follows as the main alternative, supported by establishment-aligned outside spending from groups such as the United Democracy Project and private encouragement from Senate Democratic leadership. Mallory McMorrow trails further behind amid targeted ad campaigns from aligned PACs, while lower-polling candidates including Rashida Tlaib and Sarah Anthony register minimal market interest. Recent polling averages show El-Sayed ahead by single digits in some surveys and Stevens competitive or ahead in others, with outside expenditures and labor endorsements emerging as the primary drivers shifting implied probabilities in the closely watched open-seat contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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