Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey holds a commanding lead in the September 1 Democratic primary due to strong party infrastructure support and recent polling advantages over Rep. Seth Moulton. At the late May state convention, Markey captured 73% of delegate votes to Moulton’s 27%, securing the official endorsement while Moulton cleared the ballot threshold. Earlier 2026 surveys from UNH, Suffolk, and Emerson showed Markey ahead by 5–13 points among likely Democratic primary voters. Minor candidates Alexander Rikleen and Ayanna Pressley—who endorsed Markey—register negligible support. Moulton’s emphasis on generational turnover and age limits has not closed the gap, leaving traders pricing in Markey’s structural edge heading into the final campaign stretch.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEd Markey 73%
Seth Moulton 27%
Alexander Rikleen <1%
Ayanna Pressley <1%
$21,716 Vol.
$21,716 Vol.
Ed Markey
73%
Seth Moulton
27%
Alexander Rikleen
<1%
Ayanna Pressley
<1%
Ed Markey 73%
Seth Moulton 27%
Alexander Rikleen <1%
Ayanna Pressley <1%
$21,716 Vol.
$21,716 Vol.
Ed Markey
73%
Seth Moulton
27%
Alexander Rikleen
<1%
Ayanna Pressley
<1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey holds a commanding lead in the September 1 Democratic primary due to strong party infrastructure support and recent polling advantages over Rep. Seth Moulton. At the late May state convention, Markey captured 73% of delegate votes to Moulton’s 27%, securing the official endorsement while Moulton cleared the ballot threshold. Earlier 2026 surveys from UNH, Suffolk, and Emerson showed Markey ahead by 5–13 points among likely Democratic primary voters. Minor candidates Alexander Rikleen and Ayanna Pressley—who endorsed Markey—register negligible support. Moulton’s emphasis on generational turnover and age limits has not closed the gap, leaving traders pricing in Markey’s structural edge heading into the final campaign stretch.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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