Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 59.5% in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace JD Vance, driven by recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tied with Republican Jon Husted ahead of the May 5 primaries. Surveys like EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and OnMessage Inc. (Brown 47%-45%) have tilted the race toward Democrats, outweighing a Quantus Insights poll with Husted up 46%-44%, amid mixed polling averages in this swing state battleground. Heavy Republican PAC spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund, the largest targeted race—signals vulnerability, while Brown's prior service bolsters his path in a competitive midterm environment with national implications for Senate control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$68,249 Vol.
$68,249 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
60%
Repubblicano
41%
$68,249 Vol.
$68,249 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$39,307 Vol.
60%
Repubblicano
$28,942 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 59.5% in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace JD Vance, driven by recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tied with Republican Jon Husted ahead of the May 5 primaries. Surveys like EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and OnMessage Inc. (Brown 47%-45%) have tilted the race toward Democrats, outweighing a Quantus Insights poll with Husted up 46%-44%, amid mixed polling averages in this swing state battleground. Heavy Republican PAC spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund, the largest targeted race—signals vulnerability, while Brown's prior service bolsters his path in a competitive midterm environment with national implications for Senate control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$68,249Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 59.5% in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace JD Vance, driven by recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tied with Republican Jon Husted ahead of the May 5 primaries. Surveys like EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and OnMessage Inc. (Brown 47%-45%) have tilted the race toward Democrats, outweighing a Quantus Insights poll with Husted up 46%-44%, amid mixed polling averages in this swing state battleground. Heavy Republican PAC spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund, the largest targeted race—signals vulnerability, while Brown's prior service bolsters his path in a competitive midterm environment with national implications for Senate control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,249Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 59.5% in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace JD Vance, driven by recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tied with Republican Jon Husted ahead of the May 5 primaries. Surveys like EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and OnMessage Inc. (Brown 47%-45%) have tilted the race toward Democrats, outweighing a Quantus Insights poll with Husted up 46%-44%, amid mixed polling averages in this swing state battleground. Heavy Republican PAC spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund, the largest targeted race—signals vulnerability, while Brown's prior service bolsters his path in a competitive midterm environment with national implications for Senate control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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