Ohio’s 2026 special Senate race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Sherrod Brown a narrow 51% implied probability against incumbent Jon Husted at 46.5%. Both candidates cleared their May primaries with little opposition, setting up a high-stakes November matchup in a state that has trended Republican in recent presidential and Senate contests yet features competitive statewide results. Brown’s substantial first-quarter fundraising advantage and established name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Husted’s incumbency and alignment with Republican priorities on economic and regulatory issues. Mixed spring polling, all within the margin of error, and the race’s importance for Senate control sustain the close pricing ahead of fall advertising surges and updated surveys.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$86,133 Vol.
$86,133 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
50%
Jon Husted (R)
48%
$86,133 Vol.
$86,133 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
$49,727 Vol.
50%
Jon Husted (R)
$36,407 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ohio’s 2026 special Senate race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Sherrod Brown a narrow 51% implied probability against incumbent Jon Husted at 46.5%. Both candidates cleared their May primaries with little opposition, setting up a high-stakes November matchup in a state that has trended Republican in recent presidential and Senate contests yet features competitive statewide results. Brown’s substantial first-quarter fundraising advantage and established name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Husted’s incumbency and alignment with Republican priorities on economic and regulatory issues. Mixed spring polling, all within the margin of error, and the race’s importance for Senate control sustain the close pricing ahead of fall advertising surges and updated surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$86,133Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ohio’s 2026 special Senate race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Sherrod Brown a narrow 51% implied probability against incumbent Jon Husted at 46.5%. Both candidates cleared their May primaries with little opposition, setting up a high-stakes November matchup in a state that has trended Republican in recent presidential and Senate contests yet features competitive statewide results. Brown’s substantial first-quarter fundraising advantage and established name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Husted’s incumbency and alignment with Republican priorities on economic and regulatory issues. Mixed spring polling, all within the margin of error, and the race’s importance for Senate control sustain the close pricing ahead of fall advertising surges and updated surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$86,133Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio’s 2026 special Senate race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Sherrod Brown a narrow 51% implied probability against incumbent Jon Husted at 46.5%. Both candidates cleared their May primaries with little opposition, setting up a high-stakes November matchup in a state that has trended Republican in recent presidential and Senate contests yet features competitive statewide results. Brown’s substantial first-quarter fundraising advantage and established name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Husted’s incumbency and alignment with Republican priorities on economic and regulatory issues. Mixed spring polling, all within the margin of error, and the race’s importance for Senate control sustain the close pricing ahead of fall advertising surges and updated surveys.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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