Multiple Senate contests rated toss-ups by nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, including Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Ohio (special), Maine, Alaska, and Nebraska, drive the dispersed market odds. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with recent primary outcomes and narrow polling margins in those states, position them as frontrunners for the closest result. Texas features a high-profile matchup between Attorney General Ken Paxton and state Representative James Talarico, while Ohio’s special election and Nebraska’s independent challenge add uncertainty. Recent rating shifts, such as New Hampshire moving to toss-up status, and late-cycle polling fluctuations could consolidate trader views around one state if margins tighten further or national conditions favor one party’s turnout operations ahead of November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIowa 13.7%
Texas 14%
Michigan 10.7%
Ohio (Special) 9.9%
$45,306 Vol.
$45,306 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Iowa
14%
Texas
14%
Michigan
11%
Ohio (Special)
10%
Nebraska
9%
Alaska
8%
Maine
8%
Florida (Special)
4%
New Hampshire
4%
Virginia
2%
Montana
2%
North Carolina
2%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
<1%
Iowa 13.7%
Texas 14%
Michigan 10.7%
Ohio (Special) 9.9%
$45,306 Vol.
$45,306 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Iowa
$3,298 Vol.
14%
Texas
$2,351 Vol.
14%
Michigan
$3,508 Vol.
11%
Ohio (Special)
$9,015 Vol.
10%
Nebraska
$3,609 Vol.
9%
Alaska
$8,357 Vol.
8%
Maine
$1,995 Vol.
8%
Florida (Special)
$410 Vol.
4%
New Hampshire
$806 Vol.
4%
Virginia
$5,076 Vol.
2%
Montana
$1,653 Vol.
2%
North Carolina
$1,557 Vol.
2%
Georgia
$824 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$1,569 Vol.
1%
Colorado
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Senate contests rated toss-ups by nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, including Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Ohio (special), Maine, Alaska, and Nebraska, drive the dispersed market odds. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with recent primary outcomes and narrow polling margins in those states, position them as frontrunners for the closest result. Texas features a high-profile matchup between Attorney General Ken Paxton and state Representative James Talarico, while Ohio’s special election and Nebraska’s independent challenge add uncertainty. Recent rating shifts, such as New Hampshire moving to toss-up status, and late-cycle polling fluctuations could consolidate trader views around one state if margins tighten further or national conditions favor one party’s turnout operations ahead of November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$45,306Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Senate contests rated toss-ups by nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, including Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Ohio (special), Maine, Alaska, and Nebraska, drive the dispersed market odds. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with recent primary outcomes and narrow polling margins in those states, position them as frontrunners for the closest result. Texas features a high-profile matchup between Attorney General Ken Paxton and state Representative James Talarico, while Ohio’s special election and Nebraska’s independent challenge add uncertainty. Recent rating shifts, such as New Hampshire moving to toss-up status, and late-cycle polling fluctuations could consolidate trader views around one state if margins tighten further or national conditions favor one party’s turnout operations ahead of November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,306Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Multiple Senate contests rated toss-ups by nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, including Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Ohio (special), Maine, Alaska, and Nebraska, drive the dispersed market odds. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with recent primary outcomes and narrow polling margins in those states, position them as frontrunners for the closest result. Texas features a high-profile matchup between Attorney General Ken Paxton and state Representative James Talarico, while Ohio’s special election and Nebraska’s independent challenge add uncertainty. Recent rating shifts, such as New Hampshire moving to toss-up status, and late-cycle polling fluctuations could consolidate trader views around one state if margins tighten further or national conditions favor one party’s turnout operations ahead of November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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