Several open-seat contests and battleground states with narrow partisan leans drive trader focus on the 2026 gubernatorial cycle, particularly Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin, Kansas, and Iowa. Ohio leads due to its Republican-leaning tilt, term-limited incumbent, and high-profile Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy facing Democrat Amy Acton after May primaries. Nevada and Wisconsin feature incumbent governors in states with slim margins, while Kansas and Iowa open seats create uncertainty around candidate fields and potential flips. Key differentiators include candidate strength, fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and state-specific factors like economic conditions or turnout patterns that could narrow or widen expected margins. Strong late-cycle polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout surprises in these states could consolidate support behind one outcome as November approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOhio 13.2%
Nevada 11%
Wisconsin 10.4%
Kansas 9.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Ohio
13%
Nevada
11%
Wisconsin
10%
Kansas
9%
Iowa
9%
Texas
9%
Georgia
6%
Colorado
5%
Florida
5%
Michigan
4%
Oregon
4%
Alaska
3%
Arizona
3%
New Hampshire
2%
Maine
1%
New Mexico
1%
Vermont
1%
Minnesota
1%
Ohio 13.2%
Nevada 11%
Wisconsin 10.4%
Kansas 9.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Ohio
$333 Vol.
13%
Nevada
$1,420 Vol.
11%
Wisconsin
$250 Vol.
10%
Kansas
$357 Vol.
9%
Iowa
$475 Vol.
9%
Texas
$1,038 Vol.
9%
Georgia
$194 Vol.
6%
Colorado
$238 Vol.
5%
Florida
$193 Vol.
5%
Michigan
$324 Vol.
4%
Oregon
$299 Vol.
4%
Alaska
$201 Vol.
3%
Arizona
$259 Vol.
3%
New Hampshire
$250 Vol.
2%
Maine
$297 Vol.
1%
New Mexico
$189 Vol.
1%
Vermont
$171 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$209 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat contests and battleground states with narrow partisan leans drive trader focus on the 2026 gubernatorial cycle, particularly Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin, Kansas, and Iowa. Ohio leads due to its Republican-leaning tilt, term-limited incumbent, and high-profile Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy facing Democrat Amy Acton after May primaries. Nevada and Wisconsin feature incumbent governors in states with slim margins, while Kansas and Iowa open seats create uncertainty around candidate fields and potential flips. Key differentiators include candidate strength, fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and state-specific factors like economic conditions or turnout patterns that could narrow or widen expected margins. Strong late-cycle polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout surprises in these states could consolidate support behind one outcome as November approaches.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$6,696Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat contests and battleground states with narrow partisan leans drive trader focus on the 2026 gubernatorial cycle, particularly Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin, Kansas, and Iowa. Ohio leads due to its Republican-leaning tilt, term-limited incumbent, and high-profile Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy facing Democrat Amy Acton after May primaries. Nevada and Wisconsin feature incumbent governors in states with slim margins, while Kansas and Iowa open seats create uncertainty around candidate fields and potential flips. Key differentiators include candidate strength, fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and state-specific factors like economic conditions or turnout patterns that could narrow or widen expected margins. Strong late-cycle polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout surprises in these states could consolidate support behind one outcome as November approaches.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,696Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several open-seat contests and battleground states with narrow partisan leans drive trader focus on the 2026 gubernatorial cycle, particularly Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin, Kansas, and Iowa. Ohio leads due to its Republican-leaning tilt, term-limited incumbent, and high-profile Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy facing Democrat Amy Acton after May primaries. Nevada and Wisconsin feature incumbent governors in states with slim margins, while Kansas and Iowa open seats create uncertainty around candidate fields and potential flips. Key differentiators include candidate strength, fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and state-specific factors like economic conditions or turnout patterns that could narrow or widen expected margins. Strong late-cycle polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout surprises in these states could consolidate support behind one outcome as November approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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