Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential margins under five points due to a national environment shaped by midterm backlash, economic pressures including inflation and tariffs, and voter views on foreign policy such as the Iran conflict. Key races include Maine, where Democrat Troy Jackson polls narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Susan Collins; Ohio, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican Jon Husted; Alaska, featuring Democrat Mary Peltola challenging Republican Dan Sullivan; Iowa, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek; Texas, where Democratic nominee James Talarico remains competitive; and Michigan’s open seat between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings reflect these dynamics, with primaries largely concluded and the November 3 general election approaching. Candidate quality, turnout in battleground states, and late shifts in the generic ballot continue to influence positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$62,797 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Texas
83%
Kansas
72%
Alaska
68%
Michigan
62%
Iowa
62%
Ohio (Speciale)
56%
Maine
56%
New Hampshire
58%
Nebraska
49%
South Carolina
43%
Georgia
27%
Florida (Speciale)
25%
Carolina del Nord
24%
Minnesota
22%
Nuovo Messico
12%
Montana
9%
Colorado
5%
Virginia
4%
$62,797 Vol.
Texas
$7,129 Vol.
83%
Kansas
$556 Vol.
72%
Alaska
$2,789 Vol.
68%
Michigan
$2,735 Vol.
62%
Iowa
$5,645 Vol.
62%
Ohio (Speciale)
$3,936 Vol.
56%
Maine
$1,020 Vol.
56%
New Hampshire
$2,352 Vol.
58%
Nebraska
$3,687 Vol.
49%
South Carolina
$109 Vol.
43%
Georgia
$1,394 Vol.
27%
Florida (Speciale)
$2,450 Vol.
25%
Carolina del Nord
$5,753 Vol.
24%
Minnesota
$9,715 Vol.
22%
Nuovo Messico
$6,665 Vol.
12%
Montana
$2,919 Vol.
9%
Colorado
$2,599 Vol.
5%
Virginia
$1,344 Vol.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential margins under five points due to a national environment shaped by midterm backlash, economic pressures including inflation and tariffs, and voter views on foreign policy such as the Iran conflict. Key races include Maine, where Democrat Troy Jackson polls narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Susan Collins; Ohio, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican Jon Husted; Alaska, featuring Democrat Mary Peltola challenging Republican Dan Sullivan; Iowa, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek; Texas, where Democratic nominee James Talarico remains competitive; and Michigan’s open seat between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings reflect these dynamics, with primaries largely concluded and the November 3 general election approaching. Candidate quality, turnout in battleground states, and late shifts in the generic ballot continue to influence positioning.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$62,797Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential margins under five points due to a national environment shaped by midterm backlash, economic pressures including inflation and tariffs, and voter views on foreign policy such as the Iran conflict. Key races include Maine, where Democrat Troy Jackson polls narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Susan Collins; Ohio, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican Jon Husted; Alaska, featuring Democrat Mary Peltola challenging Republican Dan Sullivan; Iowa, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek; Texas, where Democratic nominee James Talarico remains competitive; and Michigan’s open seat between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings reflect these dynamics, with primaries largely concluded and the November 3 general election approaching. Candidate quality, turnout in battleground states, and late shifts in the generic ballot continue to influence positioning.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,797Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential margins under five points due to a national environment shaped by midterm backlash, economic pressures including inflation and tariffs, and voter views on foreign policy such as the Iran conflict. Key races include Maine, where Democrat Troy Jackson polls narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Susan Collins; Ohio, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican Jon Husted; Alaska, featuring Democrat Mary Peltola challenging Republican Dan Sullivan; Iowa, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek; Texas, where Democratic nominee James Talarico remains competitive; and Michigan’s open seat between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings reflect these dynamics, with primaries largely concluded and the November 3 general election approaching. Candidate quality, turnout in battleground states, and late shifts in the generic ballot continue to influence positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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