Republican Mike Ezell secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a three-candidate field. The southeastern Mississippi district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and limited crossover support. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race on track for November. Trader pricing aligns with the seat's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers capable of narrowing the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-04
$23,880 Vol.
$23,880 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
59%
Partito Democratico
4%
$23,880 Vol.
$23,880 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
59%
Partito Democratico
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Mike Ezell secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a three-candidate field. The southeastern Mississippi district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and limited crossover support. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race on track for November. Trader pricing aligns with the seat's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers capable of narrowing the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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