Skip to main content
Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Mandela Barnes 39%

Francesca Hong 27.5%

Sara Rodriguez 27%

David Crowley 3.2%

Polymarket

$48,717 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 39%

Francesca Hong 27.5%

Sara Rodriguez 27%

David Crowley 3.2%

Polymarket

$48,717 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$7,903 Vol.

39%

Francesca Hong

$6,484 Vol.

27%

Sara Rodriguez

$8,594 Vol.

27%

David Crowley

$2,887 Vol.

3%

Kelda Roys

$2,172 Vol.

2%

Chris Larson

$8,550 Vol.

1%

Zachary Roper

$1,590 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,697 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$1,569 Vol.

<1%

Joel Brennan

$2,007 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$2,014 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,676 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 39% implied probability to win Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and perceived electability in the battleground general election matchup against likely Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. Recent March polls, including Patriot Polling (Hong 27%, Barnes 18%, Rodriguez 6% among 43% undecided) and Marquette Law School (Hong 14%, Barnes 11% amid 65% undecided), show state Rep. Francesca Hong surging slightly ahead but with the crowded field—featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 27% odds—and low voter awareness leaving room for shifts via endorsements, debates, or fundraising before the primary. High undecided rates underscore the fluid race dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,717
Data di fine
11 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 39% implied probability to win Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and perceived electability in the battleground general election matchup against likely Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. Recent March polls, including Patriot Polling (Hong 27%, Barnes 18%, Rodriguez 6% among 43% undecided) and Marquette Law School (Hong 14%, Barnes 11% amid 65% undecided), show state Rep. Francesca Hong surging slightly ahead but with the crowded field—featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 27% odds—and low voter awareness leaving room for shifts via endorsements, debates, or fundraising before the primary. High undecided rates underscore the fluid race dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,717
Data di fine
11 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mandela Barnes" a 39%, seguito da "Francesca Hong" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 39¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $48.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 11, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" è "Mandela Barnes" a 39%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Francesca Hong" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.