California voters will decide in November 2026 whether to make permanent the high-earner income tax surcharge originally approved under Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended through 2030 by Proposition 55. The measure, known as Proposition 3, locks in rates up to 12.3% on income above roughly $360,000 for individuals and $721,000 for couples, directing the resulting $5–15 billion annually primarily to K-12 schools and community colleges. It qualified for the ballot in June 2026 with strong backing from the California Teachers Association and allied education groups. Traders assign the “yes” side a 66% implied probability amid consistent past voter support for extensions, ongoing dependence on these revenues for education funding, and competing tax-related measures on the same ballot, offset by opposition focused on long-term economic effects and high-income migration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCalifornia High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide in November 2026 whether to make permanent the high-earner income tax surcharge originally approved under Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended through 2030 by Proposition 55. The measure, known as Proposition 3, locks in rates up to 12.3% on income above roughly $360,000 for individuals and $721,000 for couples, directing the resulting $5–15 billion annually primarily to K-12 schools and community colleges. It qualified for the ballot in June 2026 with strong backing from the California Teachers Association and allied education groups. Traders assign the “yes” side a 66% implied probability amid consistent past voter support for extensions, ongoing dependence on these revenues for education funding, and competing tax-related measures on the same ballot, offset by opposition focused on long-term economic effects and high-income migration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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