Incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin remain locked in a statistical tie for the Democratic nomination in Florida’s 25th Congressional District, with the August 18 primary just days away. An August 5 internal poll showed Moskowitz at 40% and Larkin at 38% among likely Democratic voters, inside the margin of error and with roughly 22% still undecided. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz wider leads, but Larkin’s recent TV and digital ads attacking the incumbent as a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and stronger support among later voters, have narrowed the gap. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising edge and early-vote advantage are offset by the district’s mix of moderate and progressive Democratic voters plus the compressed timeline. A late shift in turnout among undecideds or additional ad spending could produce a decisive margin in either direction, while continued parity would leave the outcome dependent on final ballot counting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMoskowitz 10–15% 23%
Larkin 10–15% 23%
Larkin 15–20% 23%
Moskowitz 15–20% 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
40%
Moskowitz 20–25%
32%
Moskowitz 15–20%
21%
Moskowitz 10–15%
23%
Moskowitz 5–10%
21%
Moskowitz <5%
21%
Larkin <5%
21%
Larkin 5–10%
14%
Larkin 10–15%
23%
Larkin 15–20%
23%
Larkin 20–25%
10%
Larkin 25%+
1%
Moskowitz 10–15% 23%
Larkin 10–15% 23%
Larkin 15–20% 23%
Moskowitz 15–20% 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
$51 Vol.
40%
Moskowitz 20–25%
$58 Vol.
32%
Moskowitz 15–20%
$31 Vol.
21%
Moskowitz 10–15%
$31 Vol.
23%
Moskowitz 5–10%
$15 Vol.
21%
Moskowitz <5%
$31 Vol.
21%
Larkin <5%
$31 Vol.
21%
Larkin 5–10%
$31 Vol.
14%
Larkin 10–15%
$31 Vol.
23%
Larkin 15–20%
$31 Vol.
23%
Larkin 20–25%
$31 Vol.
10%
Larkin 25%+
$119 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin remain locked in a statistical tie for the Democratic nomination in Florida’s 25th Congressional District, with the August 18 primary just days away. An August 5 internal poll showed Moskowitz at 40% and Larkin at 38% among likely Democratic voters, inside the margin of error and with roughly 22% still undecided. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz wider leads, but Larkin’s recent TV and digital ads attacking the incumbent as a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and stronger support among later voters, have narrowed the gap. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising edge and early-vote advantage are offset by the district’s mix of moderate and progressive Democratic voters plus the compressed timeline. A late shift in turnout among undecideds or additional ad spending could produce a decisive margin in either direction, while continued parity would leave the outcome dependent on final ballot counting.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$494Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin remain locked in a statistical tie for the Democratic nomination in Florida’s 25th Congressional District, with the August 18 primary just days away. An August 5 internal poll showed Moskowitz at 40% and Larkin at 38% among likely Democratic voters, inside the margin of error and with roughly 22% still undecided. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz wider leads, but Larkin’s recent TV and digital ads attacking the incumbent as a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and stronger support among later voters, have narrowed the gap. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising edge and early-vote advantage are offset by the district’s mix of moderate and progressive Democratic voters plus the compressed timeline. A late shift in turnout among undecideds or additional ad spending could produce a decisive margin in either direction, while continued parity would leave the outcome dependent on final ballot counting.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$494Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin remain locked in a statistical tie for the Democratic nomination in Florida’s 25th Congressional District, with the August 18 primary just days away. An August 5 internal poll showed Moskowitz at 40% and Larkin at 38% among likely Democratic voters, inside the margin of error and with roughly 22% still undecided. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz wider leads, but Larkin’s recent TV and digital ads attacking the incumbent as a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and stronger support among later voters, have narrowed the gap. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising edge and early-vote advantage are offset by the district’s mix of moderate and progressive Democratic voters plus the compressed timeline. A late shift in turnout among undecideds or additional ad spending could produce a decisive margin in either direction, while continued parity would leave the outcome dependent on final ballot counting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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