Incumbent Austin Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Kelly Esti advanced with 53.5% in her contest. The district’s R+15 partisan lean and Scott’s 68.9% general-election result in 2024 underpin trader expectations that the leading candidate will exceed the 50% threshold on November 3 and avoid a December runoff. Limited Democratic infrastructure, the presence of only one notable independent, and the absence of competitive polling or recent campaign developments reinforce the near-certain consensus reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated turnout surge among opposing voters remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
99% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
99% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.Incumbent Austin Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Kelly Esti advanced with 53.5% in her contest. The district’s R+15 partisan lean and Scott’s 68.9% general-election result in 2024 underpin trader expectations that the leading candidate will exceed the 50% threshold on November 3 and avoid a December runoff. Limited Democratic infrastructure, the presence of only one notable independent, and the absence of competitive polling or recent campaign developments reinforce the near-certain consensus reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated turnout surge among opposing voters remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$1,326Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.Incumbent Austin Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Kelly Esti advanced with 53.5% in her contest. The district’s R+15 partisan lean and Scott’s 68.9% general-election result in 2024 underpin trader expectations that the leading candidate will exceed the 50% threshold on November 3 and avoid a December runoff. Limited Democratic infrastructure, the presence of only one notable independent, and the absence of competitive polling or recent campaign developments reinforce the near-certain consensus reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated turnout surge among opposing voters remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Volume
$1,326Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Austin Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 8th congressional district, while Democrat Kelly Esti advanced with 53.5% in her contest. The district’s R+15 partisan lean and Scott’s 68.9% general-election result in 2024 underpin trader expectations that the leading candidate will exceed the 50% threshold on November 3 and avoid a December runoff. Limited Democratic infrastructure, the presence of only one notable independent, and the absence of competitive polling or recent campaign developments reinforce the near-certain consensus reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated turnout surge among opposing voters remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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