In the open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race pitting Democrat Amy Acton against Republican Vivek Ramaswamy following term limits for incumbent Mike DeWine, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 57% implied probability amid mixed polling trends. Recent surveys show volatility: EMC Research in February had Acton up 10 points, Quantus in mid-March by 1 point, but GOP-aligned Coalition to Protect American Workers on April 10 found Ramaswamy leading 48%-41% among union households. Fresh catalysts include DeWine's April 17 rebuke of a Ramaswamy ad falsely blaming Acton for 2020 primary delays and a resurfaced 2019 verbal domestic dispute report on Acton, keeping the battleground contest tight with debates and turnout pivotal before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$77,633 Vol.
$77,633 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
57%
Repubblicano
44%
$77,633 Vol.
$77,633 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$39,811 Vol.
57%
Repubblicano
$37,832 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In the open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race pitting Democrat Amy Acton against Republican Vivek Ramaswamy following term limits for incumbent Mike DeWine, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 57% implied probability amid mixed polling trends. Recent surveys show volatility: EMC Research in February had Acton up 10 points, Quantus in mid-March by 1 point, but GOP-aligned Coalition to Protect American Workers on April 10 found Ramaswamy leading 48%-41% among union households. Fresh catalysts include DeWine's April 17 rebuke of a Ramaswamy ad falsely blaming Acton for 2020 primary delays and a resurfaced 2019 verbal domestic dispute report on Acton, keeping the battleground contest tight with debates and turnout pivotal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$77,633Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In the open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race pitting Democrat Amy Acton against Republican Vivek Ramaswamy following term limits for incumbent Mike DeWine, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 57% implied probability amid mixed polling trends. Recent surveys show volatility: EMC Research in February had Acton up 10 points, Quantus in mid-March by 1 point, but GOP-aligned Coalition to Protect American Workers on April 10 found Ramaswamy leading 48%-41% among union households. Fresh catalysts include DeWine's April 17 rebuke of a Ramaswamy ad falsely blaming Acton for 2020 primary delays and a resurfaced 2019 verbal domestic dispute report on Acton, keeping the battleground contest tight with debates and turnout pivotal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$77,633Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race pitting Democrat Amy Acton against Republican Vivek Ramaswamy following term limits for incumbent Mike DeWine, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 57% implied probability amid mixed polling trends. Recent surveys show volatility: EMC Research in February had Acton up 10 points, Quantus in mid-March by 1 point, but GOP-aligned Coalition to Protect American Workers on April 10 found Ramaswamy leading 48%-41% among union households. Fresh catalysts include DeWine's April 17 rebuke of a Ramaswamy ad falsely blaming Acton for 2020 primary delays and a resurfaced 2019 verbal domestic dispute report on Acton, keeping the battleground contest tight with debates and turnout pivotal before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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