Skip to main content
Market icon
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Market icon
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

355+ 32%

340–354 29%

325–339 15%

310–324 13.9%

Polymarket

$10,023 Vol.

355+ 32%

340–354 29%

325–339 15%

310–324 13.9%

Polymarket

$10,023 Vol.

<280

$567 Vol.

4%

280–294

$616 Vol.

2%

295–309

$930 Vol.

12%

310–324

$572 Vol.

14%

325–339

$395 Vol.

15%

340–354

$451 Vol.

29%

355+

$6,493 Vol.

32%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices United Russia securing 355+ seats at 31.5% or 340–354 at 28.5% in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election for 450 seats, reflecting polls showing the party's proportional vote share hovering at 30–40% in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys from March–April, down slightly amid rising food and utility prices. This softening support, noted in February Kremlin discussions, keeps the race tight between supermajority thresholds, bolstered by United Russia's dominance in single-member districts and administrative advantages like expanded electronic voting. Candidate primaries launched March 11 emphasize war veterans, while Kremlin propaganda highlights social initiatives; further inflation or successful mobilization could tip toward higher bins before concurrent regional votes.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$10,023
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices United Russia securing 355+ seats at 31.5% or 340–354 at 28.5% in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election for 450 seats, reflecting polls showing the party's proportional vote share hovering at 30–40% in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys from March–April, down slightly amid rising food and utility prices. This softening support, noted in February Kremlin discussions, keeps the race tight between supermajority thresholds, bolstered by United Russia's dominance in single-member districts and administrative advantages like expanded electronic voting. Candidate primaries launched March 11 emphasize war veterans, while Kremlin propaganda highlights social initiatives; further inflation or successful mobilization could tip toward higher bins before concurrent regional votes.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$10,023
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "355+" a 32%, seguito da "340–354" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 32¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 32% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" ha generato $10K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" è "355+" a 32%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 32% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "340–354" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.