The Democratic Party of Korea's confirmation of Chong Won-oh as its Seoul mayoral candidate on April 9, after he secured over 50% in the primary without a runoff, has driven trader consensus to an 89% implied probability for his victory in the June 3 election. As a three-term Seongdong-gu district head credited with local development successes, he benefits from ruling party momentum and incumbency disadvantage for opposition People Power Party's Oh Se-hoon, who holds 7.5% amid ongoing PPP primaries featuring multiple contenders. Recent exchanges, including Oh Se-hoon's challenge to Chong's policy vision on April 15, underscore a competitive matchup, though markets price low odds for other un-nominated figures like Cho Eun-hee or Park Yong-jin pending further primaries and debates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Seul
2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Seul
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$23,146,507 Vol.
$23,146,507 Vol.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$23,146,507 Vol.
$23,146,507 Vol.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea's confirmation of Chong Won-oh as its Seoul mayoral candidate on April 9, after he secured over 50% in the primary without a runoff, has driven trader consensus to an 89% implied probability for his victory in the June 3 election. As a three-term Seongdong-gu district head credited with local development successes, he benefits from ruling party momentum and incumbency disadvantage for opposition People Power Party's Oh Se-hoon, who holds 7.5% amid ongoing PPP primaries featuring multiple contenders. Recent exchanges, including Oh Se-hoon's challenge to Chong's policy vision on April 15, underscore a competitive matchup, though markets price low odds for other un-nominated figures like Cho Eun-hee or Park Yong-jin pending further primaries and debates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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