Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 57.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026 general election, reflecting recent opinion polls where Social Democrats lead at 32-33%, ahead of Moderates (17-18%) and Sweden Democrats (20-21%). Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5% amid Tidö coalition strains, exacerbated by his April 1 announcement opening the door to a majority government with Sweden Democrats in cabinet roles on immigration—a shift drawing criticism for normalizing far-right influence. Jimmie Åkesson at 5.9% faces barriers as SD lacks coalition partners for PM. Close bloc math (Tidö ~45%, potential S+V+MP+C ~53%) and Centre Party swings hinge on turnout and negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Magdalena Andersson 57%
Ulf Kristersson 34%
Jimmie Åkesson 5.9%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,790,112 Vol.
$1,790,112 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
57%

Ulf Kristersson
34%

Jimmie Åkesson
6%

Ebba Busch
1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 57%
Ulf Kristersson 34%
Jimmie Åkesson 5.9%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,790,112 Vol.
$1,790,112 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
57%

Ulf Kristersson
34%

Jimmie Åkesson
6%

Ebba Busch
1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 57.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026 general election, reflecting recent opinion polls where Social Democrats lead at 32-33%, ahead of Moderates (17-18%) and Sweden Democrats (20-21%). Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5% amid Tidö coalition strains, exacerbated by his April 1 announcement opening the door to a majority government with Sweden Democrats in cabinet roles on immigration—a shift drawing criticism for normalizing far-right influence. Jimmie Åkesson at 5.9% faces barriers as SD lacks coalition partners for PM. Close bloc math (Tidö ~45%, potential S+V+MP+C ~53%) and Centre Party swings hinge on turnout and negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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