Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, bolstered by centre-right coalition unity—including recent Lega list presentation on April 11 and UDC integration—building on his role as incumbent deputy mayor for tourism under Luigi Brugnaro. Andrea Martella trails at 37.5% as the centre-left PD-backed senator, emphasizing suburban security in recent Zelarino campaigning, but faces challenges from fragmented opposition. Centrist economist Michele Boldrin's "Ora!" launch in late March garners 4.3%, potentially splitting anti-incumbent votes amid polls showing Venturini ahead in head-to-head matchups. Upcoming first-round turnout and municipalità races could tip toward runoff on June 7-8.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, bolstered by centre-right coalition unity—including recent Lega list presentation on April 11 and UDC integration—building on his role as incumbent deputy mayor for tourism under Luigi Brugnaro. Andrea Martella trails at 37.5% as the centre-left PD-backed senator, emphasizing suburban security in recent Zelarino campaigning, but faces challenges from fragmented opposition. Centrist economist Michele Boldrin's "Ora!" launch in late March garners 4.3%, potentially splitting anti-incumbent votes amid polls showing Venturini ahead in head-to-head matchups. Upcoming first-round turnout and municipalità races could tip toward runoff on June 7-8.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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