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Politica·Medio Oriente

Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?

Market icon
Politica·Medio Oriente

Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?

Benjamin Netanyahu 44%

Naftali Bennett 27%

Gadi Eizenkot 18.6%

Yair Lapid 2.6%

Polymarket

$4,704,566 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 44%

Naftali Bennett 27%

Gadi Eizenkot 18.6%

Yair Lapid 2.6%

Polymarket

$4,704,566 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$526,583 Vol.

44%

Naftali Bennett

$962,991 Vol.

27%

Gadi Eizenkot

$534,525 Vol.

19%

Yair Lapid

$324,752 Vol.

3%

Yariv Levin

$142,691 Vol.

1%

Avigdor Lieberman

$371,232 Vol.

1%

Benny Gantz

$189,517 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$136,798 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$376,516 Vol.

1%

Israele Katz

$19,390 Vol.

1%

Yair Golan

$264,078 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$392,017 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$14,902 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$97,357 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$22,815 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$271,630 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$56,771 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls underpin trader consensus positioning Benjamin Netanyahu as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability for Prime Minister after Israel's next Knesset election by October 27, 2026, reflecting Likud's seat lead and coalition stability amid the Iran war that began in March. Naftali Bennett follows at 26.5%, but Gadi Eisenkot has surged to 18.6% in late-March Channel 12 and Kan surveys, overtaking Bennett as the top anti-Netanyahu challenger despite Eisenkot rejecting a merger offer. Netanyahu gained seats in a March 29 Kan poll even as Likud dipped post-Iran ceasefire, while opposition unity talks urged by Yair Lapid falter, keeping the race competitive with blocs near parity.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,704,566
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls underpin trader consensus positioning Benjamin Netanyahu as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability for Prime Minister after Israel's next Knesset election by October 27, 2026, reflecting Likud's seat lead and coalition stability amid the Iran war that began in March. Naftali Bennett follows at 26.5%, but Gadi Eisenkot has surged to 18.6% in late-March Channel 12 and Kan surveys, overtaking Bennett as the top anti-Netanyahu challenger despite Eisenkot rejecting a merger offer. Netanyahu gained seats in a March 29 Kan poll even as Likud dipped post-Iran ceasefire, while opposition unity talks urged by Yair Lapid falter, keeping the race competitive with blocs near parity.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,704,566
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Benjamin Netanyahu" a 44%, seguito da "Naftali Bennett" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" ha generato $4.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 15, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" è "Benjamin Netanyahu" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Naftali Bennett" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro di Israele dopo le prossime elezioni?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.