Recent US-Iran indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman concluded on April 12 after a 21-hour session without a final agreement, yet reports highlight narrowing gaps on uranium enrichment limits amid Tehran's offers to dilute its 60% enriched stockpile to 20% or lower. The Trump administration's red lines demand a full end to enrichment, dismantlement of key facilities, and IAEA verification, leveraging post-conflict pressures and sanctions to compel concessions before the December 31 deadline. IAEA's February report noted Iran's restricted access and growing stockpiles—over 9,000 kg total—but February Geneva progress on zero stockpiling fueled optimism. Trader consensus at 67% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum and Iran's economic incentives outweighing persistent disputes over enrichment rights, with further rounds possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$62,868 Vol.
$62,868 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$62,868 Vol.
$62,868 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman concluded on April 12 after a 21-hour session without a final agreement, yet reports highlight narrowing gaps on uranium enrichment limits amid Tehran's offers to dilute its 60% enriched stockpile to 20% or lower. The Trump administration's red lines demand a full end to enrichment, dismantlement of key facilities, and IAEA verification, leveraging post-conflict pressures and sanctions to compel concessions before the December 31 deadline. IAEA's February report noted Iran's restricted access and growing stockpiles—over 9,000 kg total—but February Geneva progress on zero stockpiling fueled optimism. Trader consensus at 67% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum and Iran's economic incentives outweighing persistent disputes over enrichment rights, with further rounds possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$62,868Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman concluded on April 12 after a 21-hour session without a final agreement, yet reports highlight narrowing gaps on uranium enrichment limits amid Tehran's offers to dilute its 60% enriched stockpile to 20% or lower. The Trump administration's red lines demand a full end to enrichment, dismantlement of key facilities, and IAEA verification, leveraging post-conflict pressures and sanctions to compel concessions before the December 31 deadline. IAEA's February report noted Iran's restricted access and growing stockpiles—over 9,000 kg total—but February Geneva progress on zero stockpiling fueled optimism. Trader consensus at 67% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum and Iran's economic incentives outweighing persistent disputes over enrichment rights, with further rounds possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,868Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman concluded on April 12 after a 21-hour session without a final agreement, yet reports highlight narrowing gaps on uranium enrichment limits amid Tehran's offers to dilute its 60% enriched stockpile to 20% or lower. The Trump administration's red lines demand a full end to enrichment, dismantlement of key facilities, and IAEA verification, leveraging post-conflict pressures and sanctions to compel concessions before the December 31 deadline. IAEA's February report noted Iran's restricted access and growing stockpiles—over 9,000 kg total—but February Geneva progress on zero stockpiling fueled optimism. Trader consensus at 67% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum and Iran's economic incentives outweighing persistent disputes over enrichment rights, with further rounds possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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