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Mondo·Elezioni Francesi

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

icon for Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi
Mondo·Elezioni Francesi

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.8%

Polymarket

$133,000,128 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.8%

Polymarket

$133,000,128 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,413,496 Vol.

34%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,594,727 Vol.

28%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,434,993 Vol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,110,367 Vol.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,779,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,259,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,109,728 Vol.

2%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,250,759 Vol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,725,800 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,054,426 Vol.

1%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,865,918 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,312,939 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,671,809 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,943,523 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,651,977 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,154,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,690,971 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$863,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,722,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,672 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,313 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,505 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34% due to her National Rally party's sustained first-round polling strength around 32-35% amid a fragmented field, bolstered by the July 2026 appeal ruling that eased her prior ineligibility concerns and allowed her candidacy to proceed. Édouard Philippe trails at 27% as the leading centrist option, drawing 15-20% in surveys by consolidating support from Macron-era voters and moderate right-leaning blocs, though multiple declared or potential contenders including Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and David Lisnard continue to split that vote. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's 11-12% reflects his loyal base on the left but limited broader appeal. The two-round system and ongoing primary processes, such as the Socialist vote in October, keep probabilities fluid as consolidation or turnout shifts could alter runoff pairings before April 2027.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$133,000,128
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34% due to her National Rally party's sustained first-round polling strength around 32-35% amid a fragmented field, bolstered by the July 2026 appeal ruling that eased her prior ineligibility concerns and allowed her candidacy to proceed. Édouard Philippe trails at 27% as the leading centrist option, drawing 15-20% in surveys by consolidating support from Macron-era voters and moderate right-leaning blocs, though multiple declared or potential contenders including Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and David Lisnard continue to split that vote. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's 11-12% reflects his loyal base on the left but limited broader appeal. The two-round system and ongoing primary processes, such as the Socialist vote in October, keep probabilities fluid as consolidation or turnout shifts could alter runoff pairings before April 2027.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$133,000,128
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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Domande frequenti

"Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 41+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marine Le Pen" a 34%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 34¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" ha generato $133 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi", esplora i 41+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è "Marine Le Pen" a 34%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.