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Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

Market icon
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

Édouard Philippe 25%

Jordan Bardella 24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%

Dominique de Villepin 5.7%

Polymarket

$41,549,049 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 25%

Jordan Bardella 24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%

Dominique de Villepin 5.7%

Polymarket

$41,549,049 Vol.

Édouard Philippe vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Édouard Philippe

$520,769 Vol.

25%

Jordan Bardella vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Jordan Bardella

$745,369 Vol.

24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$332,268 Vol.

7%

Dominique de Villepin vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Dominique de Villepin

$966,136 Vol.

6%

Marine Le Pen vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Marine Le Pen

$379,221 Vol.

6%

David Lisnard vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

David Lisnard

$887,129 Vol.

4%

Gabriel Attal vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Gabriel Attal

$994,517 Vol.

4%

Bruno Retailleau vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Bruno Retailleau

$1,096,540 Vol.

3%

François Hollande vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

François Hollande

$718,130 Vol.

3%

Raphaël Glucksmann vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Raphaël Glucksmann

$605,447 Vol.

2%

Sarah Knafo vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Sarah Knafo

$1,079,676 Vol.

2%

Jean Castex vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Jean Castex

$598,121 Vol.

1%

Gérald Darmanin vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Gérald Darmanin

$511,285 Vol.

1%

Sébastien Lecornu vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Sébastien Lecornu

$752,862 Vol.

1%

Fabien Roussel vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Fabien Roussel

$1,613,791 Vol.

1%

Éric Zemmour vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Éric Zemmour

$532,747 Vol.

1%

François Ruffin vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

François Ruffin

$536,951 Vol.

1%

Valérie Pécresse vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Valérie Pécresse

$1,685,984 Vol.

1%

François Asselineau vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

François Asselineau

$2,169,094 Vol.

1%

Manuel Bompard vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Manuel Bompard

$1,433,208 Vol.

1%

Juan Branco vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Juan Branco

$419,602 Vol.

1%

Xavier Bertrand vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Xavier Bertrand

$1,237,621 Vol.

1%

Marine Tondelier vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Marine Tondelier

$828,384 Vol.

1%

Olivier Faure vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Olivier Faure

$1,356,925 Vol.

1%

Ségolène Royal vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Ségolène Royal

$1,593,399 Vol.

1%

Clémentine Autain vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Clémentine Autain

$2,114,322 Vol.

1%

Michel Barnier vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Michel Barnier

$1,659,130 Vol.

1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,603,424 Vol.

1%

Clémence Guetté vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Clémence Guetté

$1,922,617 Vol.

1%

Laurent Wauquiez vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Laurent Wauquiez

$782,726 Vol.

1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,826,575 Vol.

1%

Élisabeth Borne vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Élisabeth Borne

$1,940,766 Vol.

1%

François Bayrou vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

François Bayrou

$2,015,554 Vol.

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Bernard Cazeneuve

$825,097 Vol.

1%

Mathilde Panot vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Mathilde Panot

$1,799,643 Vol.

1%

Carole Delga vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027? icon

Carole Delga

$1,468,547 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls following March 2026 municipal elections position Édouard Philippe of Horizons and Jordan Bardella of Rassemblement National as narrow frontrunners for the 2027 first-round presidential vote, with Philippe buoyed by his Le Havre mayoral reelection and perceived runoff strength against the far right, while Bardella benefits from anti-incumbent sentiment and RN's polling edge amid economic pressures. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this tight contest in a fragmented field lacking clear frontrunners on left or traditional right, keeping top probabilities closely matched below 25%. Separation could arise from center-right primaries, left-wing consolidation behind figures like Mélenchon, scandals, or macroeconomic shifts before April 2027 balloting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$41,549,049
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls following March 2026 municipal elections position Édouard Philippe of Horizons and Jordan Bardella of Rassemblement National as narrow frontrunners for the 2027 first-round presidential vote, with Philippe buoyed by his Le Havre mayoral reelection and perceived runoff strength against the far right, while Bardella benefits from anti-incumbent sentiment and RN's polling edge amid economic pressures. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this tight contest in a fragmented field lacking clear frontrunners on left or traditional right, keeping top probabilities closely matched below 25%. Separation could arise from center-right primaries, left-wing consolidation behind figures like Mélenchon, scandals, or macroeconomic shifts before April 2027 balloting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$41,549,049
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Domande frequenti

"Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Édouard Philippe" a 25%, seguito da "Jordan Bardella" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" ha generato $41.5 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è "Édouard Philippe" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jordan Bardella" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.