United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's alignment with executive authority, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of meaningful opposition ahead of the September 18–20 vote. High-profile candidates from the ruling party, including senior officials, reinforce its organizational reach across single-member districts and party lists in a mixed electoral system. Other registered parties face structural limits on visibility and voter mobilization, while procedural features such as multi-day and electronic voting further consolidate expected outcomes. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the consistent historical pattern of supermajorities for the incumbent force. Only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden leadership changes, large-scale external shocks, or verifiable irregularities that alter official certification—could realistically shift the implied probability before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Russia
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Russia
Russia Unita (ER) 99.0%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,710,141 Vol.
$3,710,141 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
99%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 99.0%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,710,141 Vol.
$3,710,141 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,164,288 Vol.
99%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$166,740 Vol.
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$198,263 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$70,240 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's alignment with executive authority, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of meaningful opposition ahead of the September 18–20 vote. High-profile candidates from the ruling party, including senior officials, reinforce its organizational reach across single-member districts and party lists in a mixed electoral system. Other registered parties face structural limits on visibility and voter mobilization, while procedural features such as multi-day and electronic voting further consolidate expected outcomes. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the consistent historical pattern of supermajorities for the incumbent force. Only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden leadership changes, large-scale external shocks, or verifiable irregularities that alter official certification—could realistically shift the implied probability before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,710,141Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's alignment with executive authority, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of meaningful opposition ahead of the September 18–20 vote. High-profile candidates from the ruling party, including senior officials, reinforce its organizational reach across single-member districts and party lists in a mixed electoral system. Other registered parties face structural limits on visibility and voter mobilization, while procedural features such as multi-day and electronic voting further consolidate expected outcomes. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the consistent historical pattern of supermajorities for the incumbent force. Only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden leadership changes, large-scale external shocks, or verifiable irregularities that alter official certification—could realistically shift the implied probability before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,710,141Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's alignment with executive authority, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of meaningful opposition ahead of the September 18–20 vote. High-profile candidates from the ruling party, including senior officials, reinforce its organizational reach across single-member districts and party lists in a mixed electoral system. Other registered parties face structural limits on visibility and voter mobilization, while procedural features such as multi-day and electronic voting further consolidate expected outcomes. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the consistent historical pattern of supermajorities for the incumbent force. Only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden leadership changes, large-scale external shocks, or verifiable irregularities that alter official certification—could realistically shift the implied probability before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
I Nuovi Persone (NL) otterranno il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
46%
Sì
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
55%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
91%
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