United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election through structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and party-list voting, combined with Kremlin alignment and administrative resources. Recent developments include the party's June congress featuring prominent candidates such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, alongside efforts to integrate military veterans into candidate lists. Polling from FOM and VTsIOM in recent months shows United Russia leading with roughly 47-53% support, far ahead of competitors like the LDPR, KPRF, and New People, all of which face registration hurdles or lower visibility. The election occurs September 18-20 amid ongoing conflict with Ukraine and economic pressures, yet the tightly managed environment limits genuine competition. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions such as widespread irregularities surfacing post-vote or abrupt changes in candidate eligibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Russia
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Russia
Russia Unita (ER) 99.0%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
$3,700,280 Vol.
$3,700,280 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
99%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
<1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 99.0%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
$3,700,280 Vol.
$3,700,280 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,162,828 Vol.
99%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$160,302 Vol.
<1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$197,277 Vol.
<1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$69,265 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election through structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and party-list voting, combined with Kremlin alignment and administrative resources. Recent developments include the party's June congress featuring prominent candidates such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, alongside efforts to integrate military veterans into candidate lists. Polling from FOM and VTsIOM in recent months shows United Russia leading with roughly 47-53% support, far ahead of competitors like the LDPR, KPRF, and New People, all of which face registration hurdles or lower visibility. The election occurs September 18-20 amid ongoing conflict with Ukraine and economic pressures, yet the tightly managed environment limits genuine competition. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions such as widespread irregularities surfacing post-vote or abrupt changes in candidate eligibility.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,700,280Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election through structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and party-list voting, combined with Kremlin alignment and administrative resources. Recent developments include the party's June congress featuring prominent candidates such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, alongside efforts to integrate military veterans into candidate lists. Polling from FOM and VTsIOM in recent months shows United Russia leading with roughly 47-53% support, far ahead of competitors like the LDPR, KPRF, and New People, all of which face registration hurdles or lower visibility. The election occurs September 18-20 amid ongoing conflict with Ukraine and economic pressures, yet the tightly managed environment limits genuine competition. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions such as widespread irregularities surfacing post-vote or abrupt changes in candidate eligibility.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,700,280Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election through structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including strong performance in single-member districts and party-list voting, combined with Kremlin alignment and administrative resources. Recent developments include the party's June congress featuring prominent candidates such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, alongside efforts to integrate military veterans into candidate lists. Polling from FOM and VTsIOM in recent months shows United Russia leading with roughly 47-53% support, far ahead of competitors like the LDPR, KPRF, and New People, all of which face registration hurdles or lower visibility. The election occurs September 18-20 amid ongoing conflict with Ukraine and economic pressures, yet the tightly managed environment limits genuine competition. Scenarios that could shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions such as widespread irregularities surfacing post-vote or abrupt changes in candidate eligibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
I Nuovi Persone (NL) otterranno il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
46%
Sì
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
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