Recent polling averages place neither Netanyahu’s governing bloc nor the main opposition near the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority, with Yashar (Eisenkot) and Likud (Netanyahu) trading narrow leads around 22–24 seats each, followed by Together (Bennett), the Democrats, ultra-Orthodox parties, Otzma Yehudit, and Yisrael Beiteinu. The two Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) together project roughly 12–13 seats. Candidate lists were finalized in early September, accompanied by surplus-vote agreements among major pairings and multiple disqualification petitions targeting Arab parties and others now before the Central Elections Committee. With the October 27 vote five weeks away, small shifts in turnout or threshold performance by marginal lists remain decisive for seat allocation and post-election coalition arithmetic.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 nov 2026
Ra'am
88%
RZP-Zehut
87%
Amcha Yisrael
59%
I riservisti e il Nuovo Partito Economico
20%
Blue & White
7%
$3,568 Vol.
Ra'am
$377 Vol.
88%
RZP-Zehut
$1,712 Vol.
87%
Amcha Yisrael
$356 Vol.
59%
I riservisti e il Nuovo Partito Economico
$682 Vol.
20%
Blue & White
$440 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place neither Netanyahu’s governing bloc nor the main opposition near the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority, with Yashar (Eisenkot) and Likud (Netanyahu) trading narrow leads around 22–24 seats each, followed by Together (Bennett), the Democrats, ultra-Orthodox parties, Otzma Yehudit, and Yisrael Beiteinu. The two Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) together project roughly 12–13 seats. Candidate lists were finalized in early September, accompanied by surplus-vote agreements among major pairings and multiple disqualification petitions targeting Arab parties and others now before the Central Elections Committee. With the October 27 vote five weeks away, small shifts in turnout or threshold performance by marginal lists remain decisive for seat allocation and post-election coalition arithmetic.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,568Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place neither Netanyahu’s governing bloc nor the main opposition near the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority, with Yashar (Eisenkot) and Likud (Netanyahu) trading narrow leads around 22–24 seats each, followed by Together (Bennett), the Democrats, ultra-Orthodox parties, Otzma Yehudit, and Yisrael Beiteinu. The two Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) together project roughly 12–13 seats. Candidate lists were finalized in early September, accompanied by surplus-vote agreements among major pairings and multiple disqualification petitions targeting Arab parties and others now before the Central Elections Committee. With the October 27 vote five weeks away, small shifts in turnout or threshold performance by marginal lists remain decisive for seat allocation and post-election coalition arithmetic.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$3,568Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place neither Netanyahu’s governing bloc nor the main opposition near the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority, with Yashar (Eisenkot) and Likud (Netanyahu) trading narrow leads around 22–24 seats each, followed by Together (Bennett), the Democrats, ultra-Orthodox parties, Otzma Yehudit, and Yisrael Beiteinu. The two Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) together project roughly 12–13 seats. Candidate lists were finalized in early September, accompanied by surplus-vote agreements among major pairings and multiple disqualification petitions targeting Arab parties and others now before the Central Elections Committee. With the October 27 vote five weeks away, small shifts in turnout or threshold performance by marginal lists remain decisive for seat allocation and post-election coalition arithmetic.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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