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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore

Market icon
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore

AfD 83%

SPD 12%

CDU 2.7%

FDP <1%

Polymarket

$199,612 Vol.

AfD 83%

SPD 12%

CDU 2.7%

FDP <1%

Polymarket

$199,612 Vol.

AfD vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del 2026 in Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore? icon

AfD

$5,711 Vol.

83%

L'SPD vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

SPD

$34,370 Vol.

12%

La CDU vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

CDU

$26,439 Vol.

3%

L'FDP vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

FDP

$45,919 Vol.

1%

La Linke vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

Linke

$7,218 Vol.

<1%

Il BSW vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

BSW

$10,350 Vol.

<1%

I Grüne vinceranno il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

Grüne

$50,890 Vol.

<1%

FW vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026? icon

FW

$18,715 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD's commanding lead in recent polls, such as INSA's March 16 survey showing 34% support against SPD's 26%, drives trader consensus at 83% odds for the party to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20. This reflects AfD's sustained dominance in eastern Germany amid ongoing dissatisfaction with migration and economic policies, despite SPD gains to 25% in January's Infratest dimap poll from a prior low. CDU trails at 12-13%, with smaller parties like Die Linke (10-12%), BSW (5-6%), Grüne (4-5%), and FDP (2-3%) fragmented below viability thresholds under proportional representation. Recent Schwerin mayoral results on April 12, where AfD placed strongly, reinforce the trend, though national dynamics or scandals could narrow the gap before summer campaigning intensifies.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$199,612
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD's commanding lead in recent polls, such as INSA's March 16 survey showing 34% support against SPD's 26%, drives trader consensus at 83% odds for the party to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20. This reflects AfD's sustained dominance in eastern Germany amid ongoing dissatisfaction with migration and economic policies, despite SPD gains to 25% in January's Infratest dimap poll from a prior low. CDU trails at 12-13%, with smaller parties like Die Linke (10-12%), BSW (5-6%), Grüne (4-5%), and FDP (2-3%) fragmented below viability thresholds under proportional representation. Recent Schwerin mayoral results on April 12, where AfD placed strongly, reinforce the trend, though national dynamics or scandals could narrow the gap before summer campaigning intensifies.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$199,612
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "AfD" a 83%, seguito da "SPD" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 83¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" ha generato $199.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" è "AfD" a 83%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "SPD" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.