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Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Market icon

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Labour 71%

Green 25%

Conservative 2.8%

Reform 1.9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Labour 71%

Green 25%

Conservative 2.8%

Reform 1.9%

Polymarket
NUOVO
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? icon

Labour

$469 Vol.

71%

Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils? icon

Green

$384 Vol.

25%

Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils? icon

Conservative

$129 Vol.

3%

Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils? icon

Reform

$189 Vol.

2%

Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough councils? icon

Liberal Democrats

$114 Vol.

2%

Local elections in London, UK are currently scheduled for May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most London borough councils as a result of this election. Control is defined as having more than half of the voting councillors of a London borough council. Any executive positions, like Mayor, will not count. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of councils controlled by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of councils controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant London borough council elections, once those results are official. This market may resolve to the listed party as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of councils controlled in these elections. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 London local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 London local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus heavily favors Labour to control the most of London's 32 borough councils in the May 7 elections, reflecting projections like Cavendish showing the party retaining around 10 outright majorities despite losing over half from its current 21, as incumbency and first-past-post wards buffer national unpopularity. Greens, surging to mid-teens polling via youth shifts and climate focus in inner boroughs like Hackney—which they are tipped to flip—trail at 24.5% amid recent by-election gains and Labour's Gaza-related erosion among Muslim voters favoring independents. Reform eyes outer battlegrounds such as Bexley and Bromley, challenging weak Conservatives, while Liberal Democrats hold southwest strongholds; April MRP polls and candidate nominations highlight rising no-overall-control risks and fragmentation.

Local elections in London, UK are currently scheduled for May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most London borough councils as a result of this election.

Control is defined as having more than half of the voting councillors of a London borough council. Any executive positions, like Mayor, will not count.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of councils controlled by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of councils controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.

Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant London borough council elections, once those results are official. This market may resolve to the listed party as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of councils controlled in these elections. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 London local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 London local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$1,286
Data di fine
7 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Local elections in London, UK are currently scheduled for May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most London borough councils as a result of this election. Control is defined as having more than half of the voting councillors of a London borough council. Any executive positions, like Mayor, will not count. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of councils controlled by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of councils controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant London borough council elections, once those results are official. This market may resolve to the listed party as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of councils controlled in these elections. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 London local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 London local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Local elections in London, UK are currently scheduled for May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most London borough councils as a result of this election. Control is defined as having more than half of the voting councillors of a London borough council. Any executive positions, like Mayor, will not count. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of councils controlled by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of councils controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant London borough council elections, once those results are official. This market may resolve to the listed party as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of councils controlled in these elections. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 London local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 London local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus heavily favors Labour to control the most of London's 32 borough councils in the May 7 elections, reflecting projections like Cavendish showing the party retaining around 10 outright majorities despite losing over half from its current 21, as incumbency and first-past-post wards buffer national unpopularity. Greens, surging to mid-teens polling via youth shifts and climate focus in inner boroughs like Hackney—which they are tipped to flip—trail at 24.5% amid recent by-election gains and Labour's Gaza-related erosion among Muslim voters favoring independents. Reform eyes outer battlegrounds such as Bexley and Bromley, challenging weak Conservatives, while Liberal Democrats hold southwest strongholds; April MRP polls and candidate nominations highlight rising no-overall-control risks and fragmentation.

Local elections in London, UK are currently scheduled for May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most London borough councils as a result of this election.

Control is defined as having more than half of the voting councillors of a London borough council. Any executive positions, like Mayor, will not count.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of councils controlled by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of councils controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.

Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant London borough council elections, once those results are official. This market may resolve to the listed party as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of councils controlled in these elections. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 London local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 London local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$1,286
Data di fine
7 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Local elections in London, UK are currently scheduled for May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most London borough councils as a result of this election. Control is defined as having more than half of the voting councillors of a London borough council. Any executive positions, like Mayor, will not count. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of councils controlled by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of councils controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant London borough council elections, once those results are official. This market may resolve to the listed party as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of councils controlled in these elections. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 London local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 London local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

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Domande frequenti

"Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Labour" a 71%, seguito da "Green" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?" è "Labour" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Green" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.