Trader consensus on the Republican VP nominee for 2028 shows a fragmented field, with Brian Kemp leading narrowly at 40% implied probability due to his strong electability record in battleground Georgia and term-limited status ending in 2027, positioning him as a safe pick blending establishment appeal with Trump-era delivery. Ron DeSantis (38.5%) and Josh Hawley (38.5%) remain close contenders, buoyed by DeSantis' March signals of openness to national runs post-Florida governorship and Hawley's January breaks from the Trump White House, enhancing his independent MAGA profile ahead of 2026 midterms. The tight top cluster reflects uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee's preferences amid an open post-Trump primary, favoring governors for executive experience and battleground math. Strong midterm showings, Trump endorsements, or early fundraising surges could widen gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Republican VP Nominee 2028
Josh Hawley 37%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 37%
Ron DeSantis 36%
Nikki Haley 35%
Donald Trump
16%
J.D. Vance
28%
Marco Rubio
32%
Tulsi Gabbard
17%
Glenn Youngkin
16%
Donald Trump Jr.
28%
Ron DeSantis
36%
Nikki Haley
35%
Vivek Ramaswamy
28%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
22%
Greg Abbott
14%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
13%
Brian Kemp
23%
Byron Donalds
32%
Elise Stefanik
22%
Josh Hawley
37%
Ted Cruz
23%
Elon Musk
13%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Katie Britt
29%
John Thune
22%
Kristi Noem
14%
Mike Pence
23%
Tucker Carlson
15%
Ivanka Trump
15%
Tom Brady
21%
Rand Paul
22%
Steve Bannon
29%
Erika Kirk
12%
Kim Kardashian
28%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
37%
Thomas Massie
17%
Eric Trump
22%
Joe Kent
22%
Pete Hegseth
14%
Josh Hawley 37%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 37%
Ron DeSantis 36%
Nikki Haley 35%
Donald Trump
16%
J.D. Vance
28%
Marco Rubio
32%
Tulsi Gabbard
17%
Glenn Youngkin
16%
Donald Trump Jr.
28%
Ron DeSantis
36%
Nikki Haley
35%
Vivek Ramaswamy
28%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
22%
Greg Abbott
14%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
13%
Brian Kemp
23%
Byron Donalds
32%
Elise Stefanik
22%
Josh Hawley
37%
Ted Cruz
23%
Elon Musk
13%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Katie Britt
29%
John Thune
22%
Kristi Noem
14%
Mike Pence
23%
Tucker Carlson
15%
Ivanka Trump
15%
Tom Brady
21%
Rand Paul
22%
Steve Bannon
29%
Erika Kirk
12%
Kim Kardashian
28%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
37%
Thomas Massie
17%
Eric Trump
22%
Joe Kent
22%
Pete Hegseth
14%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Republican VP nominee for 2028 shows a fragmented field, with Brian Kemp leading narrowly at 40% implied probability due to his strong electability record in battleground Georgia and term-limited status ending in 2027, positioning him as a safe pick blending establishment appeal with Trump-era delivery. Ron DeSantis (38.5%) and Josh Hawley (38.5%) remain close contenders, buoyed by DeSantis' March signals of openness to national runs post-Florida governorship and Hawley's January breaks from the Trump White House, enhancing his independent MAGA profile ahead of 2026 midterms. The tight top cluster reflects uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee's preferences amid an open post-Trump primary, favoring governors for executive experience and battleground math. Strong midterm showings, Trump endorsements, or early fundraising surges could widen gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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