Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana's 2nd Congressional District, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing Billings and Great Falls, as solidly or safely Republican based on its voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance. Traders reflect this established partisan lean and lack of competitive pressure in the current consensus. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,247 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$3,153 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana's 2nd Congressional District, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing Billings and Great Falls, as solidly or safely Republican based on its voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance. Traders reflect this established partisan lean and lack of competitive pressure in the current consensus. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$11,400Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana's 2nd Congressional District, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing Billings and Great Falls, as solidly or safely Republican based on its voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance. Traders reflect this established partisan lean and lack of competitive pressure in the current consensus. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,400Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana's 2nd Congressional District, secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing Billings and Great Falls, as solidly or safely Republican based on its voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance. Traders reflect this established partisan lean and lack of competitive pressure in the current consensus. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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