Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks a third full term in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Donald Trump by 6.5 points in 2024. Finstad’s primary victory and the August 11 Democratic primary, which nominated teacher Jake Johnson, have clarified the general-election matchup ahead of the November 3 vote. Early polling and race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and agricultural base plus midterm patterns that have favored the incumbent party in similar terrain. Prediction-market pricing at 72 percent for Republicans captures this structural edge while leaving room for shifts tied to turnout or late-cycle developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$34,649 Vol.
$34,649 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
28%
$34,649 Vol.
$34,649 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$12,528 Vol.
71%
Democratic Party
$22,121 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks a third full term in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Donald Trump by 6.5 points in 2024. Finstad’s primary victory and the August 11 Democratic primary, which nominated teacher Jake Johnson, have clarified the general-election matchup ahead of the November 3 vote. Early polling and race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and agricultural base plus midterm patterns that have favored the incumbent party in similar terrain. Prediction-market pricing at 72 percent for Republicans captures this structural edge while leaving room for shifts tied to turnout or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$34,649Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks a third full term in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Donald Trump by 6.5 points in 2024. Finstad’s primary victory and the August 11 Democratic primary, which nominated teacher Jake Johnson, have clarified the general-election matchup ahead of the November 3 vote. Early polling and race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and agricultural base plus midterm patterns that have favored the incumbent party in similar terrain. Prediction-market pricing at 72 percent for Republicans captures this structural edge while leaving room for shifts tied to turnout or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,649Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks a third full term in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Donald Trump by 6.5 points in 2024. Finstad’s primary victory and the August 11 Democratic primary, which nominated teacher Jake Johnson, have clarified the general-election matchup ahead of the November 3 vote. Early polling and race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and agricultural base plus midterm patterns that have favored the incumbent party in similar terrain. Prediction-market pricing at 72 percent for Republicans captures this structural edge while leaving room for shifts tied to turnout or late-cycle developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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