Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat covering the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz, who prevailed in his four-candidate primary. The district’s voter registration favors Republicans, and historical election results show consistent GOP margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic-led effort to redraw lines for greater competitiveness advanced in the House but stalled in the Senate earlier in 2026, leaving the current map intact ahead of the November general election. These structural and incumbency factors underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-01
$37,111 Vol.
$37,111 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
88%
Partito Democratico
13%
$37,111 Vol.
$37,111 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$20,795 Vol.
88%
Partito Democratico
$16,315 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat covering the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz, who prevailed in his four-candidate primary. The district’s voter registration favors Republicans, and historical election results show consistent GOP margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic-led effort to redraw lines for greater competitiveness advanced in the House but stalled in the Senate earlier in 2026, leaving the current map intact ahead of the November general election. These structural and incumbency factors underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,111Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat covering the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz, who prevailed in his four-candidate primary. The district’s voter registration favors Republicans, and historical election results show consistent GOP margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic-led effort to redraw lines for greater competitiveness advanced in the House but stalled in the Senate earlier in 2026, leaving the current map intact ahead of the November general election. These structural and incumbency factors underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,111Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat covering the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz, who prevailed in his four-candidate primary. The district’s voter registration favors Republicans, and historical election results show consistent GOP margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic-led effort to redraw lines for greater competitiveness advanced in the House but stalled in the Senate earlier in 2026, leaving the current map intact ahead of the November general election. These structural and incumbency factors underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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