The race for California's 40th congressional district pits Republican incumbents Young Kim and Ken Calvert against each other in the November 3 general election after Proposition 50 redistricting merged portions of their prior districts. Calvert holds a larger share of the new map, yet recent polling shows the contest essentially tied, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing near even odds. Negative advertising has intensified on both sides, focusing on legislative records, alignment with party priorities, and experience, while fundraising reports indicate Kim raised more in the most recent quarter. With no Democratic nominee advancing, the outcome hinges on Republican voter turnout and persuasion in overlapping Orange and Riverside County areas. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Young Kim
51%
Ken Calvert
43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Young Kim
$2,741 Vol.
51%
Ken Calvert
$2,970 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for California's 40th congressional district pits Republican incumbents Young Kim and Ken Calvert against each other in the November 3 general election after Proposition 50 redistricting merged portions of their prior districts. Calvert holds a larger share of the new map, yet recent polling shows the contest essentially tied, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing near even odds. Negative advertising has intensified on both sides, focusing on legislative records, alignment with party priorities, and experience, while fundraising reports indicate Kim raised more in the most recent quarter. With no Democratic nominee advancing, the outcome hinges on Republican voter turnout and persuasion in overlapping Orange and Riverside County areas. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Volume
$5,711Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for California's 40th congressional district pits Republican incumbents Young Kim and Ken Calvert against each other in the November 3 general election after Proposition 50 redistricting merged portions of their prior districts. Calvert holds a larger share of the new map, yet recent polling shows the contest essentially tied, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing near even odds. Negative advertising has intensified on both sides, focusing on legislative records, alignment with party priorities, and experience, while fundraising reports indicate Kim raised more in the most recent quarter. With no Democratic nominee advancing, the outcome hinges on Republican voter turnout and persuasion in overlapping Orange and Riverside County areas. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,711Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The race for California's 40th congressional district pits Republican incumbents Young Kim and Ken Calvert against each other in the November 3 general election after Proposition 50 redistricting merged portions of their prior districts. Calvert holds a larger share of the new map, yet recent polling shows the contest essentially tied, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing near even odds. Negative advertising has intensified on both sides, focusing on legislative records, alignment with party priorities, and experience, while fundraising reports indicate Kim raised more in the most recent quarter. With no Democratic nominee advancing, the outcome hinges on Republican voter turnout and persuasion in overlapping Orange and Riverside County areas. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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