Former Gov. Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead over Republican nominee Michael Whatley in polls for North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Thom Tillis, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 84% to win in November 2026. Recent surveys, including a March 8-9 Nexus Strategies poll showing Cooper ahead 50%-32% and an early April Quantus Insights matchup at 49%-44%, underscore his strong name recognition and favorability from two-term governorship, contrasting Whatley's lower profile despite Trump endorsement and primary win on March 3. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat on April 13 amid Democratic generic ballot edges, though midterm dynamics, swing-state volatility, and potential national trends could narrow the gap ahead of early voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$47,398 Vol.
$47,398 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
84%
Repubblicano
14%
$47,398 Vol.
$47,398 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$17,569 Vol.
84%
Repubblicano
$29,829 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead over Republican nominee Michael Whatley in polls for North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Thom Tillis, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 84% to win in November 2026. Recent surveys, including a March 8-9 Nexus Strategies poll showing Cooper ahead 50%-32% and an early April Quantus Insights matchup at 49%-44%, underscore his strong name recognition and favorability from two-term governorship, contrasting Whatley's lower profile despite Trump endorsement and primary win on March 3. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat on April 13 amid Democratic generic ballot edges, though midterm dynamics, swing-state volatility, and potential national trends could narrow the gap ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$47,398Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead over Republican nominee Michael Whatley in polls for North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Thom Tillis, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 84% to win in November 2026. Recent surveys, including a March 8-9 Nexus Strategies poll showing Cooper ahead 50%-32% and an early April Quantus Insights matchup at 49%-44%, underscore his strong name recognition and favorability from two-term governorship, contrasting Whatley's lower profile despite Trump endorsement and primary win on March 3. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat on April 13 amid Democratic generic ballot edges, though midterm dynamics, swing-state volatility, and potential national trends could narrow the gap ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$47,398Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Gov. Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead over Republican nominee Michael Whatley in polls for North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Thom Tillis, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 84% to win in November 2026. Recent surveys, including a March 8-9 Nexus Strategies poll showing Cooper ahead 50%-32% and an early April Quantus Insights matchup at 49%-44%, underscore his strong name recognition and favorability from two-term governorship, contrasting Whatley's lower profile despite Trump endorsement and primary win on March 3. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat on April 13 amid Democratic generic ballot edges, though midterm dynamics, swing-state volatility, and potential national trends could narrow the gap ahead of early voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti