Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race for the open seat, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to his substantial name recognition advantage and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling. Surveys from Elon University and others in July and August 2026 show Cooper ahead by 8 to 13 points among likely voters, with familiarity ratings near 92% compared to lower awareness for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Forecasters including Sabato’s Crystal Ball have shifted the contest to lean Democratic. Whatley, the former state and national GOP chair, has yet to close the gap despite primary strength and campaign focus on economic and safety issues. Factors that could narrow the race before the November 3 election include shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments affecting voter sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$93,758 Vol.
$93,758 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
8%
$93,758 Vol.
$93,758 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$36,565 Vol.
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
$57,193 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race for the open seat, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to his substantial name recognition advantage and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling. Surveys from Elon University and others in July and August 2026 show Cooper ahead by 8 to 13 points among likely voters, with familiarity ratings near 92% compared to lower awareness for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Forecasters including Sabato’s Crystal Ball have shifted the contest to lean Democratic. Whatley, the former state and national GOP chair, has yet to close the gap despite primary strength and campaign focus on economic and safety issues. Factors that could narrow the race before the November 3 election include shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments affecting voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$93,758Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race for the open seat, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to his substantial name recognition advantage and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling. Surveys from Elon University and others in July and August 2026 show Cooper ahead by 8 to 13 points among likely voters, with familiarity ratings near 92% compared to lower awareness for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Forecasters including Sabato’s Crystal Ball have shifted the contest to lean Democratic. Whatley, the former state and national GOP chair, has yet to close the gap despite primary strength and campaign focus on economic and safety issues. Factors that could narrow the race before the November 3 election include shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments affecting voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$93,758Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race for the open seat, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to his substantial name recognition advantage and consistent double-digit leads in recent polling. Surveys from Elon University and others in July and August 2026 show Cooper ahead by 8 to 13 points among likely voters, with familiarity ratings near 92% compared to lower awareness for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Forecasters including Sabato’s Crystal Ball have shifted the contest to lean Democratic. Whatley, the former state and national GOP chair, has yet to close the gap despite primary strength and campaign focus on economic and safety issues. Factors that could narrow the race before the November 3 election include shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments affecting voter sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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