Kansas's strong Republican lean and incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall's position as the party's nominee position him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead despite some Democratic-sponsored surveys narrowing the gap. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary in August, faces the challenge of overcoming the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. Earlier speculation about procedural changes potentially affecting the contest if Marshall resigned has not materialized, with the incumbent confirming his reelection bid. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and historical factors more than fluctuating head-to-head numbers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$46,097 Vol.
$46,097 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Repubblicano
82%
Democratico
19%
$46,097 Vol.
$46,097 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$30,084 Vol.
82%
Democratico
$16,013 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's strong Republican lean and incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall's position as the party's nominee position him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead despite some Democratic-sponsored surveys narrowing the gap. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary in August, faces the challenge of overcoming the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. Earlier speculation about procedural changes potentially affecting the contest if Marshall resigned has not materialized, with the incumbent confirming his reelection bid. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and historical factors more than fluctuating head-to-head numbers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$46,097Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's strong Republican lean and incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall's position as the party's nominee position him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead despite some Democratic-sponsored surveys narrowing the gap. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary in August, faces the challenge of overcoming the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. Earlier speculation about procedural changes potentially affecting the contest if Marshall resigned has not materialized, with the incumbent confirming his reelection bid. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and historical factors more than fluctuating head-to-head numbers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$46,097Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's strong Republican lean and incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall's position as the party's nominee position him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead despite some Democratic-sponsored surveys narrowing the gap. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary in August, faces the challenge of overcoming the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. Earlier speculation about procedural changes potentially affecting the contest if Marshall resigned has not materialized, with the incumbent confirming his reelection bid. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and historical factors more than fluctuating head-to-head numbers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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