Oklahoma's long-standing Republican dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's partisan voting patterns and absence of Democratic Senate victories in decades, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus for the 2026 race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible to seek a full term. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 16 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic opposition and the primary electorate's dynamics further solidify the frontrunner position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary outcome altering candidate appeal or a significant national political shift, though historical patterns in comparable open-seat contests indicate minimal movement absent major disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$14,589 Vol.
$14,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
93%
Democratico
7%
$14,589 Vol.
$14,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$8,920 Vol.
93%
Democratico
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's long-standing Republican dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's partisan voting patterns and absence of Democratic Senate victories in decades, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus for the 2026 race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible to seek a full term. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 16 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic opposition and the primary electorate's dynamics further solidify the frontrunner position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary outcome altering candidate appeal or a significant national political shift, though historical patterns in comparable open-seat contests indicate minimal movement absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,589Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's long-standing Republican dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's partisan voting patterns and absence of Democratic Senate victories in decades, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus for the 2026 race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible to seek a full term. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 16 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic opposition and the primary electorate's dynamics further solidify the frontrunner position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary outcome altering candidate appeal or a significant national political shift, though historical patterns in comparable open-seat contests indicate minimal movement absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,589Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's long-standing Republican dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's partisan voting patterns and absence of Democratic Senate victories in decades, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus for the 2026 race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible to seek a full term. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 16 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic opposition and the primary electorate's dynamics further solidify the frontrunner position. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an unexpected primary outcome altering candidate appeal or a significant national political shift, though historical patterns in comparable open-seat contests indicate minimal movement absent major disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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