The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, anchored in affluent west Houston and northwest Harris County suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid allowed Jon Bonck to secure the nomination with a 65 percent runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos in May 2026, following a fragmented March primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral math and limited Democratic inroads. Melissa McDonough's Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan baseline. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-38
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-38
$28,006 Vol.
$28,006 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
93%
Partito Democratico
5%
$28,006 Vol.
$28,006 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$17,956 Vol.
93%
Partito Democratico
$10,050 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, anchored in affluent west Houston and northwest Harris County suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid allowed Jon Bonck to secure the nomination with a 65 percent runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos in May 2026, following a fragmented March primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral math and limited Democratic inroads. Melissa McDonough's Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan baseline. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,006Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, anchored in affluent west Houston and northwest Harris County suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid allowed Jon Bonck to secure the nomination with a 65 percent runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos in May 2026, following a fragmented March primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral math and limited Democratic inroads. Melissa McDonough's Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan baseline. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,006Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, anchored in affluent west Houston and northwest Harris County suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid allowed Jon Bonck to secure the nomination with a 65 percent runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos in May 2026, following a fragmented March primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral math and limited Democratic inroads. Melissa McDonough's Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan baseline. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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