Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district's strong Democratic baseline, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Casar secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff as the nominee. Redistricting placed Casar in this Austin-area seat previously held by another Democrat, reinforcing the structural advantage. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking events such as scandals, health issues, or national political shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-37
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-37
$45,113 Vol.
$45,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Greg Casar (D)
96%
Lauren Peña (R)
2%
$45,113 Vol.
$45,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Greg Casar (D)
$26,900 Vol.
96%
Lauren Peña (R)
$18,214 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district's strong Democratic baseline, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Casar secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff as the nominee. Redistricting placed Casar in this Austin-area seat previously held by another Democrat, reinforcing the structural advantage. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking events such as scandals, health issues, or national political shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,113Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district's strong Democratic baseline, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Casar secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff as the nominee. Redistricting placed Casar in this Austin-area seat previously held by another Democrat, reinforcing the structural advantage. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking events such as scandals, health issues, or national political shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,113Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the TX-37 House race due to the district's strong Democratic baseline, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Casar secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff as the nominee. Redistricting placed Casar in this Austin-area seat previously held by another Democrat, reinforcing the structural advantage. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking events such as scandals, health issues, or national political shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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