The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-37
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-37
$33,693 Vol.
$33,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$33,693 Vol.
$33,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$17,159 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$16,534 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$33,693Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,693Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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