Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support. Babin defeated a challenger with 81 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Democrat Rhonda Hart, who previously ran in another district, secured her nomination but trails sharply in fundraising with under $10,000 raised compared to Babin's nearly $1 million. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$30,458 Vol.
$30,458 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brian Babin (R)
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
6%
$30,458 Vol.
$30,458 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brian Babin (R)
$8,422 Vol.
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
$22,035 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support. Babin defeated a challenger with 81 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Democrat Rhonda Hart, who previously ran in another district, secured her nomination but trails sharply in fundraising with under $10,000 raised compared to Babin's nearly $1 million. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,458Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support. Babin defeated a challenger with 81 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Democrat Rhonda Hart, who previously ran in another district, secured her nomination but trails sharply in fundraising with under $10,000 raised compared to Babin's nearly $1 million. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,458Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support. Babin defeated a challenger with 81 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Democrat Rhonda Hart, who previously ran in another district, secured her nomination but trails sharply in fundraising with under $10,000 raised compared to Babin's nearly $1 million. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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