Republican incumbent Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him for the November general election in Texas's 36th congressional district. Following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat toward stronger Republican performance, forecasters rate the race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's voter base and historical results reinforce this edge, reflected in the market's 92.5 percent consensus for a Republican win. A Democratic victory by challenger Rhonda Hart would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, factors that have not materialized in recent polling or primary outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$28,055 Vol.
$28,055 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$28,055 Vol.
$28,055 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,235 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$19,820 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him for the November general election in Texas's 36th congressional district. Following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat toward stronger Republican performance, forecasters rate the race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's voter base and historical results reinforce this edge, reflected in the market's 92.5 percent consensus for a Republican win. A Democratic victory by challenger Rhonda Hart would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, factors that have not materialized in recent polling or primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,055Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him for the November general election in Texas's 36th congressional district. Following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat toward stronger Republican performance, forecasters rate the race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's voter base and historical results reinforce this edge, reflected in the market's 92.5 percent consensus for a Republican win. A Democratic victory by challenger Rhonda Hart would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, factors that have not materialized in recent polling or primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,055Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brian Babin secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him for the November general election in Texas's 36th congressional district. Following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat toward stronger Republican performance, forecasters rate the race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's voter base and historical results reinforce this edge, reflected in the market's 92.5 percent consensus for a Republican win. A Democratic victory by challenger Rhonda Hart would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, factors that have not materialized in recent polling or primary outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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