Washington's 9th congressional district, encompassing parts of southern and eastern Seattle along with suburban areas like Renton and Kent, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith benefits from long-standing name recognition, established fundraising advantages, and a history of comfortable reelection margins in this solidly blue territory. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November general election. A Republican general-election victory would require either an unexpected primary breakthrough by a GOP candidate or a significant late-cycle shift driven by factors such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in a presidential midterm environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-09 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
WA-09 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,009 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,381 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district, encompassing parts of southern and eastern Seattle along with suburban areas like Renton and Kent, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith benefits from long-standing name recognition, established fundraising advantages, and a history of comfortable reelection margins in this solidly blue territory. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November general election. A Republican general-election victory would require either an unexpected primary breakthrough by a GOP candidate or a significant late-cycle shift driven by factors such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in a presidential midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$9,390Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district, encompassing parts of southern and eastern Seattle along with suburban areas like Renton and Kent, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith benefits from long-standing name recognition, established fundraising advantages, and a history of comfortable reelection margins in this solidly blue territory. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November general election. A Republican general-election victory would require either an unexpected primary breakthrough by a GOP candidate or a significant late-cycle shift driven by factors such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in a presidential midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,390Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district, encompassing parts of southern and eastern Seattle along with suburban areas like Renton and Kent, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith benefits from long-standing name recognition, established fundraising advantages, and a history of comfortable reelection margins in this solidly blue territory. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November general election. A Republican general-election victory would require either an unexpected primary breakthrough by a GOP candidate or a significant late-cycle shift driven by factors such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in a presidential midterm environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti