Washington’s 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban King County communities around southern Seattle, Bellevue, Renton, and Kent. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and limited Republican or independent challengers ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. The district’s consistent partisan voting index above D+20, combined with Smith’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner on November 3. With the race still early in the cycle and no major shifts in voter registration or local political dynamics reported, the outcome would require an unusual late development such as a serious scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary upset to move probabilities meaningfully.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-09 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
WA-09 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,009 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,381 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban King County communities around southern Seattle, Bellevue, Renton, and Kent. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and limited Republican or independent challengers ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. The district’s consistent partisan voting index above D+20, combined with Smith’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner on November 3. With the race still early in the cycle and no major shifts in voter registration or local political dynamics reported, the outcome would require an unusual late development such as a serious scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary upset to move probabilities meaningfully.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$9,390Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban King County communities around southern Seattle, Bellevue, Renton, and Kent. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and limited Republican or independent challengers ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. The district’s consistent partisan voting index above D+20, combined with Smith’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner on November 3. With the race still early in the cycle and no major shifts in voter registration or local political dynamics reported, the outcome would require an unusual late development such as a serious scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary upset to move probabilities meaningfully.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,390Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in suburban King County communities around southern Seattle, Bellevue, Renton, and Kent. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and limited Republican or independent challengers ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. The district’s consistent partisan voting index above D+20, combined with Smith’s established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner on November 3. With the race still early in the cycle and no major shifts in voter registration or local political dynamics reported, the outcome would require an unusual late development such as a serious scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary upset to move probabilities meaningfully.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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