Lisa Demuth's 54.5% implied probability as the leading trader consensus in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary stems from her victory in the February 2026 precinct caucus straw poll, where she captured about 32% of activist support ahead of party endorsement conventions. Kendall Qualls follows at 27.5% buoyed by prior state central committee poll wins and competitive fundraising, while Mike Lindell's 12.5% reflects name recognition despite controversy. The crowded field narrowed with recent candidate withdrawals, consolidating momentum toward establishment favorite Demuth as House Speaker. With the August 11 primary approaching, upcoming district and state conventions could shift dynamics amid ongoing campaign events and legislative sessions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLisa Demuth 54%
Kendall Qualls 29%
Mike Lindell 13%
Kristin Robbins 1.4%
$318,362 Vol.
$318,362 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
54%
Kendall Qualls
29%
Mike Lindell
13%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Patrick Knight
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Lisa Demuth 54%
Kendall Qualls 29%
Mike Lindell 13%
Kristin Robbins 1.4%
$318,362 Vol.
$318,362 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
54%
Kendall Qualls
29%
Mike Lindell
13%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Patrick Knight
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa Demuth's 54.5% implied probability as the leading trader consensus in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary stems from her victory in the February 2026 precinct caucus straw poll, where she captured about 32% of activist support ahead of party endorsement conventions. Kendall Qualls follows at 27.5% buoyed by prior state central committee poll wins and competitive fundraising, while Mike Lindell's 12.5% reflects name recognition despite controversy. The crowded field narrowed with recent candidate withdrawals, consolidating momentum toward establishment favorite Demuth as House Speaker. With the August 11 primary approaching, upcoming district and state conventions could shift dynamics amid ongoing campaign events and legislative sessions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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