**Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, reflecting her polling edge and path to DFL endorsement ahead of the May convention and August 11 ballot.** Recent clashes over immigration enforcement, including backlash to ICE's Operation Metro Surge raids in Minneapolis and Rep. Angie Craig's regretted Laken Riley Act vote, have sharpened progressive critiques of the centrist congresswoman, now at 20.5%. Tina Smith's February endorsement bolstered Flanagan's statewide profile as an incumbent executive, while Craig holds a fundraising advantage. Polls like PPP's late February survey show Flanagan ahead by 30 points among likely primary voters, underscoring base support despite the competitive open seat replacing retiring Sen. Smith. Upcoming convention dynamics could solidify her nomination trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPeggy Flanagan 77%
Angie Craig 21%
Betty McCollum <1%
Ilhan Omar <1%
$38,634 Vol.
$38,634 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
77%
Angie Craig
21%
Betty McCollum
1%
Ilhan Omar
1%
Keith Ellison
1%
Steve Simon
1%
Melisa Hortman
1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Peggy Flanagan 77%
Angie Craig 21%
Betty McCollum <1%
Ilhan Omar <1%
$38,634 Vol.
$38,634 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
77%
Angie Craig
21%
Betty McCollum
1%
Ilhan Omar
1%
Keith Ellison
1%
Steve Simon
1%
Melisa Hortman
1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Jacob Frey
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, reflecting her polling edge and path to DFL endorsement ahead of the May convention and August 11 ballot.** Recent clashes over immigration enforcement, including backlash to ICE's Operation Metro Surge raids in Minneapolis and Rep. Angie Craig's regretted Laken Riley Act vote, have sharpened progressive critiques of the centrist congresswoman, now at 20.5%. Tina Smith's February endorsement bolstered Flanagan's statewide profile as an incumbent executive, while Craig holds a fundraising advantage. Polls like PPP's late February survey show Flanagan ahead by 30 points among likely primary voters, underscoring base support despite the competitive open seat replacing retiring Sen. Smith. Upcoming convention dynamics could solidify her nomination trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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