**Jeff Hurd (R) and Dwayne Romero (D) face off in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race traders view as highly competitive despite the district’s Republican lean.** Hurd, the incumbent who won the 2024 general by roughly five points, secured his party’s nomination comfortably in the June primary. Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen official, emerged from the Democratic primary to challenge him. Recent polling in the district shows President Trump underwater, which could influence turnout and independent voters in this R+5 territory. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, yet the even split in winner contracts and spread across narrow margin buckets reflect trader assessment of vulnerability tied to the national midterm environment and local economic pressures. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or shifts in national conditions could widen or narrow the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRepubblicano 6-9% 21%
Democratico 0-3% 11%
Repubblicano 0-3% 11%
Democratico 9-12% 10.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano 12%+
8%
Repubblicano 9-12%
6%
Repubblicano 6-9%
21%
Repubblicano 3-6%
8%
Repubblicano 0-3%
11%
Democratico 0-3%
11%
Democratico 3-6%
10%
Democratico 6-9%
5%
Democratico 9-12%
10%
Democratico 12%+
5%
Repubblicano 6-9% 21%
Democratico 0-3% 11%
Repubblicano 0-3% 11%
Democratico 9-12% 10.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano 12%+
$1,832 Vol.
8%
Repubblicano 9-12%
$111 Vol.
6%
Repubblicano 6-9%
$208 Vol.
21%
Repubblicano 3-6%
$101 Vol.
8%
Repubblicano 0-3%
$132 Vol.
11%
Democratico 0-3%
$130 Vol.
11%
Democratico 3-6%
$215 Vol.
10%
Democratico 6-9%
$155 Vol.
5%
Democratico 9-12%
$168 Vol.
10%
Democratico 12%+
$241 Vol.
5%
The 2026 CO-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CO-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jeff Hurd (R) and Dwayne Romero (D) face off in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race traders view as highly competitive despite the district’s Republican lean.** Hurd, the incumbent who won the 2024 general by roughly five points, secured his party’s nomination comfortably in the June primary. Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen official, emerged from the Democratic primary to challenge him. Recent polling in the district shows President Trump underwater, which could influence turnout and independent voters in this R+5 territory. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, yet the even split in winner contracts and spread across narrow margin buckets reflect trader assessment of vulnerability tied to the national midterm environment and local economic pressures. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or shifts in national conditions could widen or narrow the outcome.
The 2026 CO-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CO-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CO-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Volume
$3,293Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 3:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 CO-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CO-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jeff Hurd (R) and Dwayne Romero (D) face off in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race traders view as highly competitive despite the district’s Republican lean.** Hurd, the incumbent who won the 2024 general by roughly five points, secured his party’s nomination comfortably in the June primary. Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen official, emerged from the Democratic primary to challenge him. Recent polling in the district shows President Trump underwater, which could influence turnout and independent voters in this R+5 territory. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, yet the even split in winner contracts and spread across narrow margin buckets reflect trader assessment of vulnerability tied to the national midterm environment and local economic pressures. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or shifts in national conditions could widen or narrow the outcome.
The 2026 CO-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CO-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CO-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,293Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 3:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Jeff Hurd (R) and Dwayne Romero (D) face off in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race traders view as highly competitive despite the district’s Republican lean.** Hurd, the incumbent who won the 2024 general by roughly five points, secured his party’s nomination comfortably in the June primary. Romero, an Army veteran and former Aspen official, emerged from the Democratic primary to challenge him. Recent polling in the district shows President Trump underwater, which could influence turnout and independent voters in this R+5 territory. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, yet the even split in winner contracts and spread across narrow margin buckets reflect trader assessment of vulnerability tied to the national midterm environment and local economic pressures. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or shifts in national conditions could widen or narrow the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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