Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNV-01 House Election Winner
NV-01 House Election Winner
$15,465 Vol.
$15,465 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$15,465 Vol.
$15,465 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,130 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$11,335 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$15,465Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,465Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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