The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNV-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NV-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$30,295 Vol.
$30,295 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
75%
Partito Democratico
23%
$30,295 Vol.
$30,295 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$15,901 Vol.
75%
Partito Democratico
$14,394 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$30,295Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,295Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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