Florida's 19th congressional district carries a pronounced Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings and consistent past election margins, which underpins trader consensus around a Republican general election victory. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship, prompting an August primary that produced Republican nominee Jim Schwartzel to face Democrat Victor Arias in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in key voting blocs could still narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee in the eyes of market participants.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
$17,791 Vol.
$17,791 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,791 Vol.
$17,791 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,159 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$11,632 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a pronounced Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings and consistent past election margins, which underpins trader consensus around a Republican general election victory. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship, prompting an August primary that produced Republican nominee Jim Schwartzel to face Democrat Victor Arias in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in key voting blocs could still narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee in the eyes of market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,791Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a pronounced Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings and consistent past election margins, which underpins trader consensus around a Republican general election victory. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship, prompting an August primary that produced Republican nominee Jim Schwartzel to face Democrat Victor Arias in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in key voting blocs could still narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee in the eyes of market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,791Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a pronounced Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings and consistent past election margins, which underpins trader consensus around a Republican general election victory. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship, prompting an August primary that produced Republican nominee Jim Schwartzel to face Democrat Victor Arias in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in key voting blocs could still narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee in the eyes of market participants.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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