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Elezioni·Primarie

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elezioni·Primarie

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 57%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 10%

Heath Howard 2.8%

Polymarket

$12,423 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 57%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 10%

Heath Howard 2.8%

Polymarket

$12,423 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$7,576 Vol.

54%

Maura Sullivan

$3,216 Vol.

30%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,332 Vol.

10%

Heath Howard

$300 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Stefany Shaheen a 53% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling leads—such as 23% to Maura Sullivan's 9% in recent surveys—and strong name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, alongside consolidating establishment support. Sullivan holds 26.5% amid her fundraising dominance, outpacing Shaheen in quarterly reports through Q1 2026, signaling potential to close the gap in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas for Senate. Carleigh Beriont's 10.5% reflects local appeal as Hampton select board member, while Heath Howard lags at 2.5%. No major developments in the past 30 days; upcoming debates and FEC filings could influence undecided voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,423
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Stefany Shaheen a 53% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling leads—such as 23% to Maura Sullivan's 9% in recent surveys—and strong name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, alongside consolidating establishment support. Sullivan holds 26.5% amid her fundraising dominance, outpacing Shaheen in quarterly reports through Q1 2026, signaling potential to close the gap in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas for Senate. Carleigh Beriont's 10.5% reflects local appeal as Hampton select board member, while Heath Howard lags at 2.5%. No major developments in the past 30 days; upcoming debates and FEC filings could influence undecided voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,423
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Stefany Shaheen" a 54%, seguito da "Maura Sullivan" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 54¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $12.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Stefany Shaheen" a 54%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Maura Sullivan" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.