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Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

$961,769 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$961,769 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$9,805 Vol.

12%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$49,335 Vol.

12%

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Stephen A. Smith

$16,054 Vol.

11%

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Tucker Carlson

$16,999 Vol.

11%

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Gavin Newsom

$61,762 Vol.

11%

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Andy Beshear

$8,500 Vol.

11%

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Pete Buttigieg

$13,694 Vol.

11%

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Mark Kelly

$8,567 Vol.

10%

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Candace Owens

$4,791 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$50,829 Vol.

9%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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9%

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Brian Kemp

$2,921 Vol.

9%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,936 Vol.

9%

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Rand Paul

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8%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,868 Vol.

8%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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8%

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Mark Cuban

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8%

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Steve Bannon

$15,739 Vol.

8%

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Don Lemon

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7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$1,623 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$2,927 Vol.

7%

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George Clooney

$5,191 Vol.

7%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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7%

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John Thune

$3,265 Vol.

6%

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Ted Cruz

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6%

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Ron DeSantis

$2,319 Vol.

6%

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Cory Booker

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5%

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Glenn Youngkin

$6,003 Vol.

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$23,678 Vol.

5%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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5%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$7,965 Vol.

5%

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J.D. Vance

$28,595 Vol.

5%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,525 Vol.

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Jared Polis

$5,729 Vol.

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Josh Shapiro

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Elon Musk

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Gina Raimondo

$4,136 Vol.

4%

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Kristi Noem

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4%

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Greg Abbott

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Tulsi Gabbard

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Hunter Biden

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Tom Brady

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Tim Walz

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Elise Stefanik

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Jon Ossoff

$19,086 Vol.

3%

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Oprah Winfrey

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Jon Stewart

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Wes Moore

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John Fetterman

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MrBeast

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Nikki Haley

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Liz Cheney

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2%

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Andrew Yang

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Michelle Obama

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LeBron James

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

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Beto O’Rourke

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2%

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Phil Murphy

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1%

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Josh Hawley

$7,887 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$6,434 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$3,245 Vol.

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Katie Britt

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Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$961,769
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$961,769
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rahm Emanuel" a 12%, seguito da "Kamala Harris" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 12¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" ha generato $961.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è "Rahm Emanuel" a 12%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kamala Harris" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.