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Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

$950,002 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$950,002 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$9,805 Vol.

12%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$16,054 Vol.

11%

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Tucker Carlson

$16,977 Vol.

11%

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Gavin Newsom

$61,752 Vol.

11%

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Andy Beshear

$8,500 Vol.

11%

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Pete Buttigieg

$13,634 Vol.

11%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$8,551 Vol.

10%

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Candace Owens

$4,779 Vol.

9%

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Kamala Harris

$43,389 Vol.

9%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$41,036 Vol.

9%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,823 Vol.

9%

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Brian Kemp

$2,913 Vol.

9%

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Steve Bannon

$15,726 Vol.

9%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,918 Vol.

9%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$50,812 Vol.

8%

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Rand Paul

$17,193 Vol.

8%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$19,647 Vol.

8%

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Mark Cuban

$6,771 Vol.

8%

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Don Lemon

$1,751 Vol.

7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$1,594 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$2,922 Vol.

7%

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George Clooney

$5,178 Vol.

7%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,541 Vol.

7%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$14,297 Vol.

6%

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Ron DeSantis

$2,314 Vol.

6%

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John Thune

$3,265 Vol.

6%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,497 Vol.

6%

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Tim Walz

$4,638 Vol.

6%

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Erika Kirk

$22,745 Vol.

6%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$4,884 Vol.

5%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$14,435 Vol.

5%

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Cory Booker

$13,688 Vol.

5%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,971 Vol.

5%

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Marco Rubio

$7,769 Vol.

5%

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Greg Abbott

$3,941 Vol.

5%

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J.D. Vance

$28,595 Vol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,274 Vol.

5%

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Elon Musk

$9,045 Vol.

5%

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Ivanka Trump

$32,445 Vol.

4%

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Tom Brady

$9,517 Vol.

4%

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Gina Raimondo

$4,136 Vol.

4%

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Jared Polis

$5,700 Vol.

4%

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Kristi Noem

$19,764 Vol.

4%

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Oprah Winfrey

$16,298 Vol.

4%

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Hunter Biden

$50,865 Vol.

4%

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Nikki Haley

$3,238 Vol.

4%

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Elise Stefanik

$3,687 Vol.

4%

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Jon Ossoff

$19,058 Vol.

3%

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John Fetterman

$6,857 Vol.

3%

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Jon Stewart

$3,453 Vol.

3%

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Hillary Clinton

$13,175 Vol.

3%

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Zohran Mamdani

$34,930 Vol.

3%

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Kim Kardashian

$6,532 Vol.

3%

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Wes Moore

$6,809 Vol.

3%

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Andrew Yang

$14,205 Vol.

3%

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MrBeast

$29,049 Vol.

3%

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Liz Cheney

$2,787 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Obama

$14,252 Vol.

2%

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Barack Obama

$10,697 Vol.

2%

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LeBron James

$15,943 Vol.

2%

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Beto O’Rourke

$9,547 Vol.

2%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,605 Vol.

2%

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Josh Hawley

$7,887 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$3,245 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$25,960 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,695 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$6,434 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$9,991 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,802 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$950,002
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$950,002
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

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Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rahm Emanuel" a 12%, seguito da "Stephen A. Smith" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 12¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" ha generato $950K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è "Rahm Emanuel" a 12%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Stephen A. Smith" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.