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icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

$1,126,762 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,126,762 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$79,028 Vol.

13%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,887 Vol.

9%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,109 Vol.

9%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$57,763 Vol.

9%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,498 Vol.

8%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$49,503 Vol.

8%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$17,339 Vol.

8%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$3,169 Vol.

8%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,638 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,964 Vol.

8%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$16,109 Vol.

7%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$56,496 Vol.

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,640 Vol.

7%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,714 Vol.

7%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,534 Vol.

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,847 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$11,324 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,540 Vol.

6%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,270 Vol.

6%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$4,612 Vol.

6%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$18,093 Vol.

5%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,117 Vol.

5%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$65,742 Vol.

5%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$16,743 Vol.

5%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$37,114 Vol.

5%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$10,198 Vol.

5%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,903 Vol.

5%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$4,373 Vol.

5%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,826 Vol.

5%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,658 Vol.

4%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$4,406 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,240 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,835 Vol.

4%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,964 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$18,898 Vol.

4%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$26,451 Vol.

4%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,995 Vol.

4%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$4,969 Vol.

3%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,293 Vol.

3%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,746 Vol.

3%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,576 Vol.

3%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,683 Vol.

3%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$17,093 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$22,685 Vol.

3%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$39,364 Vol.

3%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$9,309 Vol.

3%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,973 Vol.

3%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$29,902 Vol.

3%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$11,313 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,881 Vol.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$11,645 Vol.

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,162 Vol.

2%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$8,052 Vol.

2%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,582 Vol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,428 Vol.

2%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$6,169 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$11,152 Vol.

2%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$7,180 Vol.

2%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,871 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,910 Vol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,867 Vol.

2%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$4,158 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$26,278 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$10,250 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$21,780 Vol.

1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$15,468 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$8,050 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,494 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The November 2026 midterms represent the central timing driver for this market, as most viable contenders have signaled they will assess results, party standing, and their own positioning before formal announcements. As of September 2026, only long-shot or minor candidates such as Dan Greaney and Royce White have declared, while frontrunners including JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Marco Rubio continue shadow campaigns, polling visibility, and exploratory steps without committing. Rubio’s recent statement of no plans at this time, alongside Vance’s comments about weighing options post-midterms, underscores the caution among leading figures. This dynamic keeps probabilities fluid ahead of the expected late-2026 announcement window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,126,762
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The November 2026 midterms represent the central timing driver for this market, as most viable contenders have signaled they will assess results, party standing, and their own positioning before formal announcements. As of September 2026, only long-shot or minor candidates such as Dan Greaney and Royce White have declared, while frontrunners including JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Marco Rubio continue shadow campaigns, polling visibility, and exploratory steps without committing. Rubio’s recent statement of no plans at this time, alongside Vance’s comments about weighing options post-midterms, underscores the caution among leading figures. This dynamic keeps probabilities fluid ahead of the expected late-2026 announcement window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,126,762
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for J.D. Vance annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale prima del 2028?

J.D. Vance annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale prima del 2028?

90%
Sì
icon for Elon Musk annuncerà la candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

Elon Musk annuncerà la candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

1%
Sì
icon for Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

14%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Gavin Newsom" a 13%, seguito da "Don Lemon" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 13¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 13% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" ha generato $1.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è "Gavin Newsom" a 13%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 13% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Don Lemon" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.