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Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

$963,104 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$963,104 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$9,805 Vol.

12%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$49,344 Vol.

12%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$16,054 Vol.

11%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$16,999 Vol.

11%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$61,762 Vol.

11%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$8,500 Vol.

11%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$13,694 Vol.

11%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$50,834 Vol.

10%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$8,579 Vol.

10%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$4,824 Vol.

9%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$2,923 Vol.

9%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,055 Vol.

8%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$41,491 Vol.

8%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$17,298 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,899 Vol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$19,754 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$6,851 Vol.

8%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$15,740 Vol.

8%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,828 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$2,928 Vol.

7%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,215 Vol.

7%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$3,265 Vol.

6%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$1,637 Vol.

6%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,328 Vol.

6%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,604 Vol.

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$13,759 Vol.

5%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$14,330 Vol.

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$23,705 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,103 Vol.

5%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,015 Vol.

5%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$7,976 Vol.

5%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$28,595 Vol.

5%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,561 Vol.

5%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,522 Vol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,274 Vol.

5%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,055 Vol.

5%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$5,736 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,137 Vol.

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,003 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,800 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,526 Vol.

4%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$50,896 Vol.

4%

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Oprah Winfrey

$16,375 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$19,090 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,495 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,819 Vol.

3%

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Elise Stefanik

$3,705 Vol.

3%

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Kim Kardashian

$6,567 Vol.

3%

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Andrew Yang

$14,205 Vol.

3%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,146 Vol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,117 Vol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$13,819 Vol.

3%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,268 Vol.

3%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$6,884 Vol.

2%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,828 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$32,494 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$10,722 Vol.

2%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$7,887 Vol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,049 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,252 Vol.

2%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$10,103 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,605 Vol.

2%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,943 Vol.

2%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$9,547 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,837 Vol.

1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,434 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$25,960 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,245 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,695 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$963,104
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$963,104
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rahm Emanuel" a 12%, seguito da "Kamala Harris" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 12¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" ha generato $963.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è "Rahm Emanuel" a 12%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kamala Harris" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.