Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the AZ-05 Republican primary at 60.9% trader consensus due to his Trump endorsement, strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 points among likely GOP voters. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety and related claims have prompted attacks from opponent Daniel Keenan and drawn scrutiny in the final weeks before the July 21 primary, yet these have not shifted the market substantially given Lamb’s established support and the low visibility of remaining challengers. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham register minimal odds after shifting focus to other districts, leaving limited paths for late movement absent major new developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMark Lamb 61.3%
Jay Feely 5.7%
Travis Grantham 2.6%
$50,010 Vol.
$50,010 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
61%
Jay Feely
6%
Travis Grantham
3%
Mark Lamb 61.3%
Jay Feely 5.7%
Travis Grantham 2.6%
$50,010 Vol.
$50,010 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
$5,416 Vol.
61%
Jay Feely
$42,925 Vol.
6%
Travis Grantham
$1,669 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the AZ-05 Republican primary at 60.9% trader consensus due to his Trump endorsement, strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 points among likely GOP voters. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety and related claims have prompted attacks from opponent Daniel Keenan and drawn scrutiny in the final weeks before the July 21 primary, yet these have not shifted the market substantially given Lamb’s established support and the low visibility of remaining challengers. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham register minimal odds after shifting focus to other districts, leaving limited paths for late movement absent major new developments.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$50,010Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the AZ-05 Republican primary at 60.9% trader consensus due to his Trump endorsement, strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 points among likely GOP voters. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety and related claims have prompted attacks from opponent Daniel Keenan and drawn scrutiny in the final weeks before the July 21 primary, yet these have not shifted the market substantially given Lamb’s established support and the low visibility of remaining challengers. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham register minimal odds after shifting focus to other districts, leaving limited paths for late movement absent major new developments.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,010Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the AZ-05 Republican primary at 60.9% trader consensus due to his Trump endorsement, strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, and consistent polling leads exceeding 50 points among likely GOP voters. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety and related claims have prompted attacks from opponent Daniel Keenan and drawn scrutiny in the final weeks before the July 21 primary, yet these have not shifted the market substantially given Lamb’s established support and the low visibility of remaining challengers. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham register minimal odds after shifting focus to other districts, leaving limited paths for late movement absent major new developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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